Le Havre – Paris Saint Germain: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 9

Le HavreLigue 1 · #18

1-5Friday, October 30

Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 · #1

Match events

Le HavreParis Saint Germain

18'⚽Josh MajaAssist: Rayan Fofana
26'⚽Mika GodtsAssist: Achraf Hakimi
28'⚽Achraf HakimiAssist: Senny Mayulu
28'VARAchraf HakimiGoal confirmed
55'⚽Achraf Hakimi
62'⚽Senny MayuluAssist: Achraf Hakimi

Chances to win

Le Havre%12

Draw%17

Paris Saint Germain%72

At a glance

Over 1.5

%68Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Paris Saint Germain win.

%72Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%68

Both score%57

Not both score%43

Under 2.5%32

Draw%17

Le Havre win%12

Why?

Paris Saint Germain won 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Last 5 matches

Le HavreL3-4L1-3L0-1L2-3D0-0

Paris Saint GermainW2-0W4-2W3-1W4-2W3-1

Last 8 meetings

0Le Havre won

1Draw

7Paris Saint Germain won

3.9
Goals per game5/8
Over 2.53/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Le Havre · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Paris Saint Germain · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Le Havre · last 10 at home4.3 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Paris Saint Germain · last 10 away5.2 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

Bench

G. Gallon, V. Sasso, R. Ndiaye, K. Mizuta, G. Zohouri, D. Mosengo, M. Samatta, E. Koffi Vinette

Paris Saint Germain · 4-3-3

39M. Safonov

2A. Hakimi

6I. Zabarnyi

12L. Digne

21L. Hernández

24Senny Mayulu

27Pedro Fernández

33W. Zaïre-Emery

9Ferran Torres

11M. Akliouche

22M. Godts

Bench

L. Chevalier, Beraldo, D. Boly, W. Pacho, Fabián Ruiz, Vitinha, João Neves, D. Doué, Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha

Paris Saint Germain – Le HavreApril 27, 2024 · Ligue 13-3

Le Havre – Paris Saint GermainDecember 3, 2023 · Ligue 10-2

Paris Saint Germain – Le HavreJuly 21, 2023 · Friendlies Clubs2-0

Le Havre – Paris Saint GermainJuly 12, 2020 · Friendlies Clubs0-9

Lucas BeraldoOff: Maghnes Akliouche

65'⇄Mbwana Ally SamattaOff: Sota Nakamura

65'⇄Enzo KoffiOff: Amir Richardson

65'⇄Rassoul NdiayeOff: Lamine N'Diaye

71'⇄Quentin NdjantouOff: Mika Godts

71'⇄David BolyOff: Achraf Hakimi

79'⇄Hakim DongopandjiOff: Rayan Fofana

83'⇄Daren MosengoOff: Simon Ebonog

Statistics

29%Possession71%

1.91Expected goals3.09

14Total shots15

5Shots on target10

5Corners3

14Fouls11

3Offsides1

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

5Saves4

Le Havre scored 0.9 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Paris Saint Germain scored 1.8 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Le Havre · last 10 at home: 5 defeats5/10

Paris Saint Germain · last 10 away: 5 wins5/10

Le Havre: 10 games · Paris Saint Germain: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.03.4

8/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

5/10Over 1.5league %798/10

4/10Over 2.5league %617/10

3/10Over 3.5league %365/10

2/10Over 4.5league %162/10

5/10Both scoreleague %637/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

5/10Failed to score1/10

Le Havre: 10 games · Paris Saint Germain: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)3.1

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.04.2

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

7/10Over 1.5league %799/10

5/10Over 2.5league %618/10

4/10Over 3.5league %366/10

3/10Over 4.5league %164/10

6/10Both scoreleague %638/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Paris Saint Germain: win number 9 in a row.

1.91 – 3.09 The score the chances deserved (xG): Le Havre 1.91 – 3.09 Paris Saint Germain.

%62 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Le Havre win 222, 162 end level and Paris Saint Germain win 617. The actual result comes up 617 times in 1000.

5 – 10 Shots on target: Le Havre 5 – 10 Paris Saint Germain.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Le Havre · Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1

Le Havre · All games

Paris Saint Germain · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Le Havre's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match