Le Havre – Auxerre: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 7

Le HavreLigue 1 · #18

1-3Sunday, October 18

AuxerreLigue 1 · #12

Match events

Le HavreAuxerre

40'⚽D. NamasoAssist: K. Danois
43'Clement Akpa
50'Naouirou Ahamada
54'Mouhamed N'Diaye
61'⚽D. NamasoAssist: R. Faivre
62'⇄H. DongopandjiOff: J. Maja
62'

Chances to win

Le Havre%42

Draw%28

Auxerre%31

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Under 2.5%48

Not both score%43

Le Havre win%42

Auxerre win%31

Draw%28

Why?

Le Havre: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Le HavreL0-1L2-3D0-0L1-2D1-1

AuxerreL1-4W2-1W1-0L1-3L1-3

Last 4 meetings

3Le Havre won

1Draw

0Auxerre won

2.5
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.53/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Le Havre · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Auxerre · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Le Havre · last 10 at home4.5 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Auxerre · last 10 away4.2 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Starting line-ups

Le Havre · 4-3-3

93G. Gallon

5A. Touba

6J. Mwanga

20D. Ouziad

7A. Richardson

14R. Ndiaye

26S. Ebonog

9J. Maja

25M. Samatta

30S. Nakamura

Bench

A. Bodart, V. Sasso, K. Mizuta, G. Zohouri, I. Bouneb, D. Mosengo, E. Koffi Vinette, R. Fofana

Auxerre · 3-5-2

1P. Nardi

4A. Tuanzebe

15C. Makosso

92C. Akpa

5K. Danois

8N. Ahamada

21R. Faivre

22F. Oppegård

27L. Sy

9C. Archer

10D. Namaso

Bench

M. Diop, S. Diomandé, E. Legros, P. Ekwah, L. Dioubate, A. Piedfort, Aristide Zossou, Mamoudou Cissokho

R. FofanaOff: S. Nakamura

62'⇄E. K. VinetteOff: M. N'Diaye

66'⚽R. FofanaAssist: H. Dongopandji

80'⚽R. FaivreAssist: D. Namaso

82'⇄A. PiedfortOff: N. Ahamada

84'⇄G. ZohouriOff: R. Ndiaye

85'⇄K. MizutaOff: D. Ouziad

89'⇄E. LegrosOff: L. Sy

Statistics

52%Possession48%

1.4Expected goals2.7

15Total shots13

6Shots on target6

7Corners4

16Fouls22

2Offsides2

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves6

Auxerre: both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Le Havre scored 1.0 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Auxerre scored 1.6 and conceded 2.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Le Havre · last 10 at home: both scored 5 times5/10

Auxerre · last 10 away: both scored 8 times8/10

Le Havre: 10 games · Auxerre: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.8Goals conceded (avg)2.2

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.03.8

8/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

5/10Over 1.5league %799/10

4/10Over 2.5league %617/10

3/10Over 3.5league %367/10

2/10Over 4.5league %163/10

5/10Both scoreleague %638/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

5/10Failed to score1/10

Le Havre: 10 games · Auxerre: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.6

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.9

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.03.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

7/10Over 1.5league %799/10

5/10Over 2.5league %617/10

4/10Over 3.5league %365/10

3/10Over 4.5league %162/10

6/10Both scoreleague %638/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%31 Our model's pre-match chance of an Auxerre win.

%65 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Le Havre win 180, 166 end level and Auxerre win 653. The actual result comes up 653 times in 1000.

1.46 – 2.79 The score the chances deserved (xG): Le Havre 1.46 – 2.79 Auxerre.

9.3

Man of the match: D. Namaso (Auxerre), rated 9.3.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Le Havre · Ligue 1

Auxerre · Ligue 1

Le Havre · All games

Auxerre · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Le Havre's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Starting line-ups

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match