Paris Saint Germain – Lyon: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 8

Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 · #1

2-0Monday, October 26

LyonLigue 1 · #5

Match events

Paris Saint GermainLyon

31'Vitinha
51'Maghnes Akliouche
57'⇄Mika GodtsOff: João Neves
65'⇄Senny MayuluOff: Ferrán Torres
65'⇄Lucas HernándezOff: Warren Zaire-Emery
72'⚽Senny MayuluAssist: Mika Godts
74'

Chances to win

Paris Saint Germain%72

Draw%17

Lyon%11

At a glance

Over 1.5

%70Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Paris Saint Germain win.

%72Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%70

Both score%59

Not both score%41

Under 2.5%30

Draw%17

Lyon win%11

Why?

Paris Saint Germain won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Paris Saint GermainW4-2W3-1W4-2W3-1W2-1

LyonL0-3W2-1W3-2L1-2W4-0

Last 15 meetings

10Paris Saint Germain won

2Draw

3Lyon won

3.3
Goals per game10/15
Over 2.511/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Paris Saint Germain · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Lyon · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Paris Saint Germain · last 10 at home6.4 corners, 0.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Lyon · last 10 away5.4 corners, 1.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards3/10

Bench

L. Chevalier, Beraldo, L. Digne, L. Hernández, D. Boly, Senny Mayulu, Pedro Fernández, M. Godts, Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha

Lyon · 4-3-3

1D. Greif

13Z. Athekame

16Abner

19M. Niakhaté

20F. Bacher

6T. Tessmann

8C. Tolisso

23T. Morton

7E. Nuamah

18K. Merah

24J. Duranville

Bench

R. Descamps, R. Kluivert, Clinton Mata, N. Kamara, M. Bidstrup, N. Nartey, K. Boudache, A. Hamdani, R. Himbert

Lyon – Paris Saint GermainMay 25, 2024 · Coupe de France1-2

Paris Saint Germain – LyonApril 21, 2024 · Ligue 14-1

Lyon – Paris Saint GermainSeptember 3, 2023 · Ligue 11-4

Paris Saint Germain – LyonApril 2, 2023 · Ligue 10-1

Lyon – Paris Saint GermainSeptember 18, 2022 · Ligue 10-1

Lyon – Paris Saint GermainJanuary 9, 2022 · Ligue 11-1

Paris Saint Germain – LyonSeptember 19, 2021 · Ligue 12-1

Lyon – Paris Saint GermainMarch 21, 2021 · Ligue 12-4

Paris Saint Germain – LyonDecember 13, 2020 · Ligue 10-1

Paris Saint Germain – LyonJuly 31, 2020 · Coupe de la Ligue0-0

Lyon – Paris Saint GermainMarch 4, 2020 · Coupe de France1-5

76'⇄Noah Teye NarteyOff: Khalis Merah

76'⇄Ruben KluivertOff: Corentin Tolisso

81'⇄Quentin NdjantouOff: Maghnes Akliouche

81'⇄Lucas BeraldoOff: Désiré Doue

81'⇄Kail BoudacheOff: Julien Duranville

84'⚽Mika GodtsAssist: Quentin Ndjantou

90+1'⇄Remi HimbertOff: Tyler Morton

Statistics

68%Possession32%

0.96Expected goals0.69

17Total shots8

10Shots on target5

7Corners4

8Fouls14

2Offsides1

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

5Saves7

Paris Saint Germain scored 2.8 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Lyon scored 1.0 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Paris Saint Germain · last 10 at home: 7 wins7/10

Paris Saint Germain: 10 games · Lyon: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.7Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.4

4.1Total goals per gameleague 3.02.4

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

9/10Over 1.5league %799/10

7/10Over 2.5league %616/10

5/10Over 3.5league %360/10

3/10Over 4.5league %160/10

8/10Both scoreleague %636/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

Paris Saint Germain: 10 games · Lyon: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.1Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

4.2Total goals per gameleague 3.02.9

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

9/10Over 1.5league %799/10

8/10Over 2.5league %617/10

6/10Over 3.5league %363/10

4/10Over 4.5league %161/10

8/10Both scoreleague %636/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Paris Saint Germain: win number 8 in a row.

%41 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Paris Saint Germain win 405, 342 end level and Lyon win 253. The actual result comes up 405 times in 1000.

0.96 – 0.69 The score the chances deserved (xG): Paris Saint Germain 0.96 – 0.69 Lyon.

17 – 8 Shots: Paris Saint Germain 17 – 8 Lyon.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1

Lyon · Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain · All games

Lyon · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Paris Saint Germain's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match