Strasbourg – Paris Saint Germain: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 7

StrasbourgLigue 1 · #16

1-3Saturday, October 17

Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 · #1

Match events

StrasbourgParis Saint Germain

17'⚽Giovanni ReynaAssist: Gessime Yassine
53'⇄Nuno MendesOff: Lucas Digne
54'⇄Désiré DoueOff: Dro Fernández
54'⇄VitinhaOff: Lucas Beraldo
60'⇄Samuel Amo-AmeyawOff: Fábio Baldé
63'⇄Achraf HakimiOff: João Neves

Chances to win

Strasbourg%15

Draw%18

Paris Saint Germain%67

At a glance

Over 1.5

%70Over 2.5

%63Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%70Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Paris Saint Germain win%67

Both score%63

Not both score%37

Under 2.5%30

Draw%18

Strasbourg win%15

Why?

Strasbourg: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

StrasbourgL1-2L1-2D1-1W6-2W2-1

Paris Saint GermainW4-2W3-1W2-1W1-0W6-1

Last 8 meetings

1Strasbourg won

2Draw

5Paris Saint Germain won

3.6
Goals per game7/8
Over 2.57/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Strasbourg · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Paris Saint Germain · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Strasbourg · last 10 at home3.9 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Paris Saint Germain · last 10 away5.0 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

19Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé

Bench

M. Piekutowski, L. Høgsberg, Y. Becker, Diogo Sousa, Tyrese Noubissie, S. El Mourabet, S. Amo-Ameyaw, J. Ortega

Paris Saint Germain · 4-3-3

39M. Safonov

6I. Zabarnyi

12L. Digne

21L. Hernández

33W. Zaïre-Emery

4Beraldo

27Pedro Fernández

87João Neves

7K. Kvaratskhelia

9Ferran Torres

11M. Akliouche

Bench

L. Chevalier, A. Hakimi, Nuno Mendes, W. Pacho, Fabián Ruiz, Vitinha, O. Dembélé, D. Doué, M. Godts

Strasbourg – Paris Saint GermainFebruary 2, 2024 · Ligue 11-2

Paris Saint Germain – StrasbourgOctober 21, 2023 · Ligue 13-0

Strasbourg – Paris Saint GermainMay 27, 2023 · Ligue 11-1

Paris Saint Germain – StrasbourgDecember 28, 2022 · Ligue 12-1

63'⇄Ousmane DembéléOff: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

70'VARDésiré DouePenalty confirmed

72'✕Ousmane DembéléMissed penalty

75'⇄Samir El-MourabetOff: Pape Demba Diop

77'⚽Ilya ZabarnyiAssist: Ousmane Dembélé

83'⇄Yaya DiemeOff: Gessime Yassine

83'⇄Jacobo OrtegaOff: Conrad Harder

85'⚽Ousmane Dembélé

90+3'⚽Désiré DoueAssist: Ferrán Torres

Statistics

27%Possession73%

1.06Expected goals2.68

16Total shots18

8Shots on target7

3Corners6

12Fouls6

2Offsides0

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

4Saves7

Paris Saint Germain: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Strasbourg scored 1.7 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Paris Saint Germain scored 1.8 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Strasbourg · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Paris Saint Germain · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Strasbourg: 10 games · Paris Saint Germain: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.03.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

9/10Over 1.5league %798/10

7/10Over 2.5league %617/10

4/10Over 3.5league %365/10

1/10Over 4.5league %162/10

6/10Both scoreleague %637/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

Strasbourg: 10 games · Paris Saint Germain: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)3.1

2.3Goals conceded (avg)1.1

4.2Total goals per gameleague 3.04.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

10/10Over 1.5league %799/10

9/10Over 2.5league %618/10

4/10Over 3.5league %366/10

2/10Over 4.5league %164/10

8/10Both scoreleague %638/10

0/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Paris Saint Germain: win number 6 in a row.

%72 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Strasbourg win 126, 157 end level and Paris Saint Germain win 717. The actual result comes up 717 times in 1000.

1.06 – 2.68 The score the chances deserved (xG): Strasbourg 1.06 – 2.68 Paris Saint Germain.

27 – 73 Possession (%): Strasbourg 27 – 73 Paris Saint Germain.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1

Strasbourg · All games

Paris Saint Germain · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Strasbourg's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match