Nice – Strasbourg: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 6

NiceLigue 1 · #7

2-1Sunday, October 11

StrasbourgLigue 1 · #16

Match events

NiceStrasbourg

37'⇄Hicham BoudaouiOff: Djibril Coulibaly
41'⚽Dario EssugoAssist: Conrad Harder
45+2'⚽Pape Demba DiopOwn goal
47'Joaquín Martínez Gauna
63'⇄Jacobo OrtegaOff: Conrad Harder
63'⇄Giovanni ReynaOff: Diogo Sousa

Chances to win

Nice%41

Draw%26

Strasbourg%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%62Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%62

Nice win%41

Under 2.5%40

Not both score%38

Strasbourg win%33

Draw%26

Why?

Nice: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

NiceW2-1L0-1D1-1L0-3D0-0

StrasbourgL1-2D1-1W6-2W2-1L0-4

Last 9 meetings

4Nice won

3Draw

2Strasbourg won

2.8
Goals per game4/9
Over 2.56/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Nice · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Strasbourg · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Nice · last 10 at home5.7 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners

Strasbourg · last 10 away3.1 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

T. Boulhendi, A. Seidu, H. Koutoune, H. Boudaoui, S. Diop, A. Camara, E. Pereira, I. Jansson, D. Morana

Strasbourg · 4-3-3

1F. Jörgensen

4J. Mitchell

16G. Antwi

31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly

36Oso

14Dário Essugo

21P. Diop

23Diogo Sousa

7S. Amo-Ameyaw

40C. Harder

80Gessime Yassine

Bench

M. Piekutowski, L. Høgsberg, Y. Becker, G. Reyna, Tyrese Noubissie, S. El Mourabet, Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé, J. Ortega

Nice – StrasbourgNovember 24, 2024 · Ligue 1

Strasbourg – NiceApril 28, 2024 · Ligue 11-3

Nice – StrasbourgSeptember 3, 2023 · Ligue 12-0

Strasbourg – NiceMay 13, 2023 · Ligue 12-0

Nice – StrasbourgAugust 14, 2022 · Ligue 11-1

Samir El-MourabetOff: Dario Essugo

73'⇄Fábio BaldéOff: Samuel Amo-Ameyaw

73'⇄Sofiane DiopOff: Sepe Elye Wahi

76'⇄Lucas HøgsbergOff: Jeyland Mitchell

81'⚽Jonathan ClaussAssist: Sofiane Diop

86'⇄Everton PereiraOff: Axel Witsel

86'⇄Isak JanssonOff: Gauthier Hein

Statistics

45%Possession55%

1.34Expected goals0.56

11Total shots11

6Shots on target3

2Corners3

3Fouls8

5Offsides2

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

2Saves4

Strasbourg: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Nice scored 1.2 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Strasbourg scored 1.8 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Nice · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Strasbourg · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Nice: 10 games · Strasbourg: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.2Goals conceded (avg)2.0

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.03.4

8/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %799/10

5/10Over 2.5league %617/10

3/10Over 3.5league %363/10

2/10Over 4.5league %162/10

7/10Both scoreleague %636/10

2/10Clean sheets0/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

Nice: 10 games · Strasbourg: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.3Goals conceded (avg)2.3

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.04.2

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %7910/10

7/10Over 2.5league %619/10

2/10Over 3.5league %364/10

2/10Over 4.5league %162/10

7/10Both scoreleague %638/10

1/10Clean sheets0/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%56 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Nice win 560, 285 end level and Strasbourg win 155. The actual result comes up 560 times in 1000.

1.34 – 0.56 The score the chances deserved (xG): Nice 1.34 – 0.56 Strasbourg.

8.2

Man of the match: J. Clauss (Nice), rated 8.2.

%41 Our model's pre-match chance of a Nice win.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Nice · Ligue 1

Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Nice · All games

Strasbourg · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Nice's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match