Lens – Lyon: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 6

LensLigue 1 · #8

2-1Friday, October 9

LyonLigue 1 · #5

Match events

LensLyon

23'Abner Vinicius
36'⚽Florian SotocaAssist: Florian Thauvin
50'Jonathan Gradit
53'⇄Samson BaidooOff: Jonathan Gradit
54'⇄Amadou HaidaraOff: Yassine Titraoui
60'⇄Keito NakamuraOff: Loïs Openda

Chances to win

Lens%39

Draw%26

Lyon%35

At a glance

Over 1.5

%62Over 2.5

%65Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%65

Lens win%39

Under 2.5%38

Lyon win%35

Not both score%35

Draw%26

Why?

Lens: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

LensL1-2D2-2W3-2L0-1L1-2

LyonW4-0W2-1D0-0W3-1D1-1

Last 9 meetings

5Lens won

2Draw

2Lyon won

2.7
Goals per game6/9
Over 2.54/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Lens · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Lyon · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Lens · last 10 at home7.0 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners8/10Over 0.5 cards

Lyon · last 10 away5.0 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Lens · 3-4-2-1

40R. Risser

24J. Gradit

25I. Ganiou

32K. Antonio

2R. Aguilar

7F. Sotoca

8Y. Titraoui

10F. Thauvin

14M. Udol

27M. Cuisance

11O. Édouard

Bench

M. Gorgelin, S. Baidoo, Saud Abdulhamid, A. Bulatović, A. Haidara, M. Soares, M. Skóraś, J. Kadile, F. Ivanović

Lyon · 4-2-3-1

1D. Greif

13Z. Athekame

16Abner

20F. Bacher

21R. Kluivert

2M. Bidstrup

7E. Nuamah

8C. Tolisso

10P. Šulc

23T. Morton

17L. Openda

Bench

R. Descamps, Clinton Mata, N. Kamara, T. Tessmann, K. Merah, N. Nartey, Keito Nakamura, J. Duranville, K. Boudache

Lens – LyonSeptember 15, 2024 · Ligue 1

Lyon – LensMarch 3, 2024 · Ligue 10-3

Lens – LyonDecember 2, 2023 · Ligue 13-2

Lyon – LensFebruary 12, 2023 · Ligue 12-1

Lens – LyonOctober 2, 2022 · Ligue 11-0

Noah Teye NarteyOff: Mads Bidstrup

69'⇄Franjo IvanovicOff: Odsonne Édouard

69'⇄Junior KadileOff: Florian Sotoca

71'⇄Kail BoudacheOff: Ernest Nuamah

76'⚽Matthieu UdolAssist: Florian Thauvin

77'⇄Tanner TessmannOff: Tyler Morton

78'⇄Khalis MerahOff: Pavel Šulc

83'⇄Andrija BulatovićOff: Michaël Cuisance

Statistics

48%Possession52%

1.41Expected goals0.91

15Total shots12

7Shots on target5

7Corners4

13Fouls12

1Offsides1

1Yellow cards1

1Red cards0

4Saves5

Lyon: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Lens scored 2.5 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Lyon scored 1.0 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lens · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Lens: 10 games · Lyon: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.02.4

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

7/10Over 1.5league %799/10

5/10Over 2.5league %616/10

3/10Over 3.5league %360/10

2/10Over 4.5league %160/10

5/10Both scoreleague %636/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Lens: 10 games · Lyon: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.02.9

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

8/10Over 1.5league %799/10

7/10Over 2.5league %617/10

3/10Over 3.5league %363/10

1/10Over 4.5league %161/10

6/10Both scoreleague %636/10

0/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Lyon: a 5-match unbeaten run ended here.

%49 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Lens win 486, 271 end level and Lyon win 243. The actual result comes up 486 times in 1000.

1.41 – 0.91 The score the chances deserved (xG): Lens 1.41 – 0.91 Lyon.

8.6

Man of the match: F. Thauvin (Lens), rated 8.6.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Lens · Ligue 1

Lyon · Ligue 1

Lens · All games

Lyon · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Lens's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match