1899 Hoffenheim – Lyon: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Europa League · League phase · Matchday 3

1899 HoffenheimBundesliga · #10

3-0Thursday, October 22

LyonLigue 1 · #5

Match events

1899 HoffenheimLyon

9'Mats Rots
31'⇄Noham KamaraOff: Steeve Kango
45'⇄Moussa NiakhatéOff: Felix Bacher
45'⇄Tyler MortonOff: Tanner Tessmann
45+4'⚽Andrej Kramarić
49'⚽Adam DaghimAssist: Andrej Kramarić

Chances to win

1899 Hoffenheim%45

Draw%24

Lyon%31

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%65Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%65

1899 Hoffenheim win%45

Under 2.5%37

Not both score%35

Lyon win%31

Draw%24

Why?

1899 Hoffenheim: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

1899 HoffenheimW2-1L2-3L2-3L1-3L0-2

LyonW2-1W3-2L1-2W4-0W2-1

Last 3 meetings

01899 Hoffenheim won

3Draw

0Lyon won

4.7
Goals per game3/3
Over 2.53/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

1899 Hoffenheim · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Lyon · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

1899 Hoffenheim · last 10 at home7.8 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10Over 0.5 cards

Lyon · last 10 away4.7 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

Bench

L. Petersson, L. Philipp, Bernardo, V. Gendrey, K. Machida, Natnael Abraha, V. Lässig, W. Burger, Cajetan Benjamin Lenz, Max Moerstedt, A. Hložek, F. Asllani

Lyon · 4-3-3

1D. Greif

20F. Bacher

21R. Kluivert

22Clinton Mata

37Steeve Kango

2M. Bidstrup

6T. Tessmann

99N. Nartey

11Keito Nakamura

26K. Boudache

45R. Himbert

Bench

J. Bengui João, R. Descamps, Z. Athekame, Abner, M. Niakhaté, N. Kamara, C. Tolisso, K. Merah, T. Morton, E. Nuamah, J. Duranville

Corentin TolissoOff: Mads Bidstrup

61'⇄Wouter BurgerOff: Adam Daghim

61'⇄Valentin GendreyOff: Vladimír Coufal

65'⇄Adam HložekOff: Bambasé Conté

75'⇄Ernest NuamahOff: Kail Boudache

77'⇄Koki MachidaOff: Mats Rots

78'⇄Fisnik AsllaniOff: Tim Lemperle

83'⚽Adam HložekAssist: Andrej Kramarić

90+3'Moussa Niakhaté

Statistics

43%Possession57%

2.13Expected goals0.89

21Total shots8

8Shots on target2

11Corners9

20Fouls6

2Offsides1

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

2Saves5

Lyon: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

1899 Hoffenheim scored 1.6 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Lyon scored 1.0 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

1899 Hoffenheim · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Lyon · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

1899 Hoffenheim: 10 games · Lyon: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.7Total goals per gameleague 2.92.4

10/10Over 0.5league %939/10

9/10Over 1.5league %769/10

9/10Over 2.5league %606/10

4/10Over 3.5league %330/10

4/10Over 4.5league %170/10

7/10Both scoreleague %466/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

1899 Hoffenheim: 10 games · Lyon: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.5Total goals per gameleague 2.92.9

10/10Over 0.5league %939/10

10/10Over 1.5league %769/10

8/10Over 2.5league %607/10

4/10Over 3.5league %333/10

3/10Over 4.5league %171/10

7/10Both scoreleague %466/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

2.12 – 0.68 The score the chances deserved (xG): 1899 Hoffenheim 2.12 – 0.68 Lyon.

%71 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), 1899 Hoffenheim win 708, 186 end level and Lyon win 107. The actual result comes up 708 times in 1000.

21 – 8 Shots: 1899 Hoffenheim 21 – 8 Lyon.

8 – 2 Shots on target: 1899 Hoffenheim 8 – 2 Lyon.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

1899 Hoffenheim · UEFA Europa League

Lyon · UEFA Europa League

1899 Hoffenheim · All games

Lyon · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at 1899 Hoffenheim's ground

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match