Lillestrom – Brann: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eliteserien · Norway · Matchday 12

LillestromEliteserien · #6

3-2Sunday, October 25

BrannEliteserien · #9

Match events

LillestromBrann

23'⚽Fredrik GulbrandsenAssist: Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
53'Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
57'Joachim Soltvedt
58'⇄Kristian EriksenOff: Eggert Aron Gudmundsson
60'⚽Kristian Eriksen
64'⚽Felix VáAssist: Lars Ranger
69'

Chances to win

Lillestrom%40

Draw%25

Brann%35

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%67Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%67

Lillestrom win%40

Brann win%35

Under 2.5%34

Not both score%33

Draw%25

Why?

Lillestrom: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

LillestromL0-6W2-0D1-1D2-2W5-1

BrannW4-1L1-3W2-1L0-2W2-1

Last 15 meetings

2Lillestrom won

4Draw

9Brann won

2.6
Goals per game6/15
Over 2.59/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Lillestrom · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Brann · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Lillestrom · last 10 at home7.0 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Brann · last 7 away4.3 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/7Over 4.5 corners2/7Over 5.5 corners2/7Over 0.5 cards7/7Over 1.5 cards4/7

Bench

S. Hagerup, S. Ottesen, S. Foss, F. Elkær, H. Melland, E. Kitolano, K. Krygård, T. Lehne Olsen, G. Nordh

Brann · 4-3-3

12S. Nilsen

3F. Knudsen

15J. Torsvik

17J. Soltvedt

21N. Kasanwirjo

10K. Ingason

19E. Guðmundsson

25N. Jensen Wassberg

9N. Castro

22S. Magnússon

29N. Holm

Bench

M. Dyngeland, L. Cornic, V. Dragsnes, T. Pedersen, K. Eriksen, B. Haugen, B. Finne, J. Lægreid

Brann – LillestromJune 11, 2023 · Eliteserien2-2

Brann – LillestromMay 20, 2023 · NM Cupen2-0

Lillestrom – BrannSeptember 11, 2021 · Eliteserien2-3

Brann – LillestromJune 30, 2021 · Eliteserien1-1

Lillestrom – BrannSeptember 1, 2019 · Eliteserien1-3

Brann – LillestromJune 23, 2019 · Eliteserien1-0

Brann – LillestromOctober 7, 2018 · Eliteserien1-1

Lillestrom – BrannMay 21, 2018 · Eliteserien1-1

Brann – LillestromNovember 5, 2017 · Eliteserien2-0

Lillestrom – BrannApril 23, 2017 · Eliteserien0-2

Brann – LillestromOctober 16, 2016 · Eliteserien1-2

Thore PedersenOff: Jonas Tviberg Torsvik

69'⇄Vetle Winger DragsnesOff: Joachim Soltvedt

70'⇄Eric KitolanoOff: Daniel Bassi

71'Fredrik Gulbrandsen

75'⇄Bård FinneOff: Saevar Atli Magnusson

79'⇄Frederik ElkaerOff: Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil

79'⇄Thomas Lehne OlsenOff: Fredrik Gulbrandsen

80'⚽Felix VáAssist: Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim

86'⚽Noah Jean HolmAssist: Kristall Mani Ingason

90+4'Ruben Gabrielsen

90+4'⇄Sander Moen FossOff: Felix Vá

Statistics

30%Possession70%

2.55Expected goals1.48

16Total shots14

6Shots on target4

3Corners8

12Fouls14

2Offsides1

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

2Saves3

Brann: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Lillestrom scored 1.1 and conceded 2.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Brann scored 1.8 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lillestrom · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Brann · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Lillestrom: 10 games · Brann: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.8

2.2Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.23.0

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

10/10Over 1.5league %879/10

7/10Over 2.5league %636/10

4/10Over 3.5league %374/10

3/10Over 4.5league %222/10

7/10Both scoreleague %606/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Lillestrom: 10 games · Brann: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.23.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

7/10Over 2.5league %637/10

4/10Over 3.5league %373/10

3/10Over 4.5league %222/10

6/10Both scoreleague %607/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

3 – 8 Corners: Lillestrom 3 – 8 Brann.

30 – 70 Possession (%): Lillestrom 30 – 70 Brann.

%61 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Lillestrom win 607, 182 end level and Brann win 211. The actual result comes up 607 times in 1000.

9.0

Man of the match: Vá (Lillestrom), rated 9.0.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Lillestrom · Eliteserien

Brann · Eliteserien

Lillestrom · All games

Brann · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Lillestrom's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match