Sandefjord – Lillestrom: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eliteserien · Norway · Matchday 24

SandefjordEliteserien · #13

0-2Sunday, October 18

LillestromEliteserien · #6

Match events

SandefjordLillestrom

13'⚽T. OlsenAssist: F. Elkaer
24'⚽E. KitolanoAssist: S. Ottesen
31'⇄A. GronnebergOff: E. Hadaya
45'Felix Vá
59'⇄Y. PaintsilOff: H. Melland
59'⇄G. NyheimOff: E. Kitolano

Chances to win

Sandefjord%37

Draw%26

Lillestrom%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%62Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%58

Under 2.5%42

Not both score%38

Sandefjord win%37

Lillestrom win%36

Draw%26

Why?

Sandefjord: both sides scored in 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

SandefjordD1-1W1-0W3-0L2-3D1-1

LillestromD1-1D2-2W5-1L0-3L1-2

Last 7 meetings

2Sandefjord won

0Draw

5Lillestrom won

3.3
Goals per game5/7
Over 2.53/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Sandefjord · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Lillestrom · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Sandefjord · last 10 at home5.5 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

Lillestrom · last 8 away4.0 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards7/8Over 1.5 cards3/8

Bench

A. Grønneberg, V. Egeli, F. Pedersen, H. Krogelien, H. B. Skretteberg, J. Vester, O. Kapskarmo, Bendik Berntsen, D. Skaarud

Lillestrom · 4-3-3

12P. Dahlberg

3S. Ottesen

5S. Foss

11F. Elkær

47S. Kristiansen

16H. Melland

21F. Ottosson

29Y. Ibrahimaj

10T. Lehne Olsen

17E. Kitolano

20Vá

Bench

S. Hagerup, L. Ranger, R. Gabrielsen, K. Krygård, Y. Paintsil, F. Gulbrandsen, G. Nyheim, G. Nordh, D. Bassi

Lillestrom – SandefjordJuly 16, 2023 · Eliteserien4-2

Lillestrom – SandefjordAugust 21, 2022 · Eliteserien3-0

Sandefjord – LillestromMay 21, 2022 · Eliteserien1-4

O. KapskarmoOff: S. Mathisen

62'⇄B. BerntsenOff: E. Patoulidis

72'⇄F. PedersenOff: M. Hellan

72'⇄V. EgeliOff: G. Hojbjerg

74'⇄F. GulbrandsenOff: T. Olsen

75'⇄D. BassiOff: F. Elkaer

90+1'Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim

Statistics

58%Possession42%

1.35Expected goals0.51

21Total shots10

7Shots on target6

4Corners3

12Fouls11

0Offsides4

0Yellow cards2

4Saves7

86%Pass accuracy77%

Lillestrom: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Sandefjord scored 1.0 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Lillestrom scored 1.4 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Sandefjord: 10 games · Lillestrom: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.0Total goals per gameleague 3.22.7

9/10Over 0.5league %979/10

7/10Over 1.5league %879/10

3/10Over 2.5league %635/10

1/10Over 3.5league %372/10

0/10Over 4.5league %211/10

3/10Both scoreleague %604/10

4/10Clean sheets4/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

Sandefjord: 10 games · Lillestrom: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.7Total goals per gameleague 3.23.6

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

7/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

4/10Over 2.5league %637/10

3/10Over 3.5league %374/10

2/10Over 4.5league %213/10

5/10Both scoreleague %606/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%14 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Sandefjord win 583, 276 end level and Lillestrom win 141. The actual result comes up 141 times in 1000.

1.39 – 0.53 The score the chances deserved (xG): Sandefjord 1.39 – 0.53 Lillestrom.

21 – 10 Shots: Sandefjord 21 – 10 Lillestrom.

9.1

Man of the match: P. Dahlberg (Lillestrom), rated 9.1.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Sandefjord · Eliteserien

Lillestrom · Eliteserien

Sandefjord · All games

Lillestrom · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Sandefjord's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match