The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%64Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Real Sociedad win%63
Both score%59
Not both score%41
Under 2.5%36
Draw%20
Lillestrom win%17
Why?
Lillestrom: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
LillestromW2-0D1-1D2-2W5-1L0-3
Real SociedadW5-2D1-1W3-2W3-2L1-2
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Lillestrom · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Real Sociedad · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Lillestrom · last 10 at home7.3 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners8/10Over 0.5 cards
Referee
Mohammad Al-Emara3.4 cards a match in 12 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Lillestrom · European games
2W 3D 3LScored 10 · conceded 112.5 Üst 3/8KG 5/8
Real Sociedad · European games
5W 2D 3LScored 19 · conceded 142.5 Üst 6/10KG 7/10
Lillestrom · All games
5W 2D 3LScored 19 · conceded 142.5 Üst 7/10KG 6/10
Real Sociedad · All games
5W 2D 3LScored 19 · conceded 192.5 Üst 8/10KG 8/10
Missing players
Lillestrom
E. B. Garnas
This season 4 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Knee Injury
C. Jebara
No games this season · Groin Injury
Real Sociedad
A. Odriozola
No games this season · Knee Injury
Y. Herrera
This season 11 games · 1 goals · 0 assists · Calf Injury
J. Aramburu
This season 8 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Leg Injury
L. Beitia
This season 4 games · 0 goals · 1 assists · Ankle Injury
Starting line-ups
Lillestrom · 4-3-3
12P. Dahlberg
3S. Ottesen
5S. Foss
26Y. Paintsil
28R. Gabrielsen
14G. Nyheim
21
Previous meetings
The two teams have not met before.
8/10
Over 1.5 cards6/10
Real Sociedad · last 10 away4.6 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards8/10
S. Hagerup, L. Ranger, F. Elkær, S. Kristiansen, L. Alperud, H. Melland, E. Kitolano, K. Krygård, F. Gulbrandsen, G. Nordh, S. Akanji
Real Sociedad · 4-4-2
13Unai Marrero
5Zubeldia
6Jon Martín
17Sergio Gómez
19M. Sarr
4Jon Gorrotxategi
11Gonçalo Guedes
14T. Kubo
18Carlos Soler
10Mikel Oyarzabal
24L. Sučić
Bench
Álex Remiro, Aihen Muñoz, Jon Pacheco, Héctor Fort, Beñat Turrientes, Pablo Marín, A. Zakharyan, A. Lebarbier, Barrenetxea, O. Óskarsson, J. Ochieng, Alex Garcia
50'
✕
Thomas Lehne OlsenMissed penalty
52'Ruben Gabrielsen
56'Jon Gorrotxategi
58'⇄Pablo MarinOff: Takefusa Kubo
58'⇄Orri Steinn ÓskarssonOff: Mikel Oyarzabal
64'⚽Orri Steinn ÓskarssonAssist: Gonçalo Guedes
66'⇄Benat TurrientesOff: Jon Gorrotxategi
72'⇄Lars RangerOff: Sturla Ottesen
72'⇄Fredrik GulbrandsenOff: Felix Vá
72'⚽Luka Sučić
73'⇄Arsen ZakharyanOff: Luka Sučić
80'⚽Arsen ZakharyanAssist: Benat Turrientes
83'⇄Gustav NordhOff: Thomas Lehne Olsen
88'⇄Henrik Molvaer MellandOff: Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Statistics
44%Possession56%
2.29Expected goals2.46
14Total shots16
2Shots on target8
3Corners3
8Fouls6
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
Real Sociedad: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
Lillestrom scored 1.4 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Real Sociedad scored 1.8 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.
Lillestrom · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10
Real Sociedad · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10
Lillestrom: 10 games · Real Sociedad: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.3Goals scored (avg)2.1
2.2Goals conceded (avg)1.5
3.5Total goals per gameleague 2.93.6
10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10
10/10Over 1.5league %768/10
7/10Over 2.5league %605/10
4/10Over 3.5league %335/10
3/10Over 4.5league %175/10
7/10Both scoreleague %467/10
1/10Clean sheets1/10
2/10Failed to score2/10
Lillestrom: 10 games · Real Sociedad: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.8Goals scored (avg)2.4
1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.5
3.6Total goals per gameleague 2.93.9
10/10Over 0.5league %939/10
10/10Over 1.5league %769/10
7/10Over 2.5league %608/10
4/10Over 3.5league %335/10
3/10Over 4.5league %175/10
6/10Both scoreleague %467/10
2/10Clean sheets2/10
2/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
1.90 – 2.25 The score the chances deserved (xG): Lillestrom 1.90 – 2.25 Real Sociedad.
%47 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Lillestrom win 334, 200 end level and Real Sociedad win 466. The actual result comes up 466 times in 1000.
2 – 8 Shots on target: Lillestrom 2 – 8 Real Sociedad.
9.0 Man of the match: Sergio Gómez (Real Sociedad), rated 9.0.
LillestromEliteserien · #6
Real SociedadPrimera División · #5