Real Sociedad – Deportivo La Coruna: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·La Liga · Spain · Matchday 8

Real SociedadPrimera División · #5

3-2Sunday, October 11

Deportivo La CorunaPrimera División · #11

Match events

Real SociedadDeportivo La Coruna

29'⚽Jon MartinAssist: Carlos Soler
34'⚽Arsen Zakharyan
40'David Mella
45'⇄Riki RodríguezOff: David Mella
54'⚽Gonçalo GuedesAssist: Ander Barrenetxea
56'⇄Job OchiengOff: Gonçalo Guedes
56'

Chances to win

Real Sociedad%58

Draw%24

Deportivo La Coruna%19

At a glance

Over 1.5

%55Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Real Sociedad win.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%55

Both score%54

Not both score%46

Under 2.5%45

Draw%24

Deportivo La Coruna win%19

Why?

Real Sociedad won 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Real SociedadW3-2L1-2L0-3W3-2D0-0

Deportivo La CorunaD1-1L0-1D1-1W3-2W3-1

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Real Sociedad · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Deportivo La Coruna · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Real Sociedad · last 10 at home7.3 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Deportivo La Coruna · last 10 away5.4 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Unai Marrero, Aihen Muñoz, Zubeldia, Jon Pacheco, Héctor Fort, Luken Beitia, Jon Gorrotxategi, Beñat Turrientes, Mikel Oyarzabal, J. Ochieng, T. Kubo, Gorka Carrera

Deportivo La Coruna · 4-4-2

13Leo Román

12G. Quagliata

20J. Giménez

22B. Ede

23Ximo Navarro

8Diego Villares

11David Mella

19Luismi Cruz

21Mario Soriano

10Peke

32B. Nsongo

Bench

Álvaro Fernández, Adrià Alti, L. Noubi, Miguel Loureiro, Angeliño, Riki Rodríguez, L. Amatucci, Jonathan Asp Jensen, Noé, Adama Traoré, Martín Ochoa, Kevin Sánchez

Mikel OyarzabalOff: Arsen Zakharyan

57'⇄Adria AltimiraOff: Ximo Navarro

57'⇄Lorenzo AmatucciOff: Diego Villares

57'⇄Adama TraoréOff: Luismi Cruz

61'⚽Mario SorianoAssist: Riki Rodríguez

69'⚽Yeremay HernándezPenalty

69'⇄Igor ZubeldiaOff: Carlos Soler

71'José María Giménez

79'⇄Jonathan Asp JensenOff: Giacomo Quagliata

88'⇄Hector FortOff: Ander Barrenetxea

Statistics

40%Possession60%

1.53Expected goals2

12Total shots21

4Shots on target7

7Corners10

14Fouls13

4Offsides0

1Yellow cards2

1Red cards1

6Saves1

Real Sociedad scored 1.6 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Deportivo La Coruna scored 1.6 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Real Sociedad: 10 games · Deportivo La Coruna: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.02.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

8/10Over 1.5league %768/10

8/10Over 2.5league %563/10

4/10Over 3.5league %362/10

3/10Over 4.5league %222/10

7/10Both scoreleague %586/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

Real Sociedad: 10 games · Deportivo La Coruna: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.9Total goals per gameleague 3.02.7

9/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

9/10Over 1.5league %768/10

8/10Over 2.5league %564/10

5/10Over 3.5league %363/10

5/10Over 4.5league %222/10

7/10Both scoreleague %587/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%30 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Real Sociedad win 297, 216 end level and Deportivo La Coruna win 487. The actual result comes up 297 times in 1000.

1.53 – 2.00 The score the chances deserved (xG): Real Sociedad 1.53 – 2.00 Deportivo La Coruna.

8.2

Man of the match: Mario Soriano (Deportivo La Coruna), rated 8.2.

%58 Our model's pre-match chance of a Real Sociedad win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Real Sociedad · La Liga

Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga

Real Sociedad · All games

Deportivo La Coruna · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match