Valerenga – Brann: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eliteserien · Norway · Matchday 24

ValerengaEliteserien · #10

3-1Sunday, October 18

BrannEliteserien · #9

Match events

ValerengaBrann

12'VARPetter StrandPenalty confirmed
14'✕Lucas HarenMissed penalty
36'⚽S. Jarl
44'⚽K. EriksenAssist: J. Soltvedt
46'⇄N. HolmOff: F. Knudsen
53'⇄F. AmbinaOff: G. Zahid
57'

Chances to win

Valerenga%40

Draw%24

Brann%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%68Over 2.5

%69Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%68Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%69

Valerenga win%40

Brann win%36

Under 2.5%32

Not both score%31

Draw%24

Why?

Valerenga: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

ValerengaL1-2D1-1W4-1L0-2D2-2

BrannW2-1L0-2W2-1W2-1L0-2

Last 5 meetings

1Valerenga won

0Draw

4Brann won

4.6
Goals per game5/5
Over 2.55/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Valerenga · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Brann · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Valerenga · last 10 at home7.9 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners7/10Over 0.5 cards

Brann · last 7 away4.0 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/7Over 4.5 corners2/7Over 5.5 corners2/7Over 0.5 cards7/7Over 1.5 cards5/7

Bench

S. Lønning, K. Tshiembe, V. Hedenstad, I. Näsberg, A. Jatta, O. Holm, F. Ambina, H. Nielsen, G. Rajkovic

Brann · 4-3-3

12S. Nilsen

3F. Knudsen

17J. Soltvedt

21N. Kasanwirjo

23T. Pedersen

16K. Eriksen

18J. Sørensen

19E. Guðmundsson

9N. Castro

22S. Magnússon

25N. Jensen Wassberg

Bench

M. Dyngeland, L. Cornic, J. Torsvik, V. Dragsnes, B. Haugen, B. Finne, N. Holm, J. Lægreid

Brann – ValerengaApril 22, 2023 · Eliteserien3-1

62'⚽L. HarenAssist: M. Grundetjern

71'⇄J. TorsvikOff: T. Pedersen

75'⇄I. NasbergOff: C. Lange

75'⇄H. NielsenOff: O. Saeter

78'⇄V. DragsnesOff: N. Kasanwirjo

78'⇄B. FinneOff: S. Magnusson

81'⚽L. HarenAssist: H. Nielsen

86'⇄K. TshiembeOff: L. Haren

86'⇄G. RajkovicOff: H. Sjatil

90+6'Jacob Lungi Sørensen

Statistics

33%Possession67%

2.76Expected goals2.93

22Total shots22

10Shots on target7

4Corners8

9Fouls8

3Offsides2

1Yellow cards1

6Saves6

70%Pass accuracy85%

Brann: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Valerenga scored 1.9 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Brann scored 1.5 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Valerenga · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Brann · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Valerenga: 10 games · Brann: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.2

4.1Total goals per gameleague 3.23.0

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

10/10Over 1.5league %879/10

8/10Over 2.5league %636/10

6/10Over 3.5league %374/10

3/10Over 4.5league %222/10

8/10Both scoreleague %606/10

0/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Valerenga: 10 games · Brann: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.6

4.2Total goals per gameleague 3.23.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

7/10Over 2.5league %637/10

6/10Over 3.5league %373/10

4/10Over 4.5league %222/10

8/10Both scoreleague %607/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Valerenga: a 8-match wait for a win is over.

%41 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Valerenga win 412, 173 end level and Brann win 415. The actual result comes up 412 times in 1000.

32 – 68 Possession (%): Valerenga 32 – 68 Brann.

2.80 – 2.81 The score the chances deserved (xG): Valerenga 2.80 – 2.81 Brann.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Valerenga · Eliteserien

Brann · Eliteserien

Valerenga · All games

Brann · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Valerenga's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match