Brann – Lincoln Red Imps FC: probabilities, statistics and live score

BrannEliteserien · #9

2-1Thursday, October 15

Lincoln Red Imps FCNational League · #3

Match events

BrannLincoln Red Imps FC

6'N. Kasanwirjo
23'N. Kasanwirjo
56'T. Cardozo
59'⚽K. GomezAssist: Nano
61'T. Cardozo
61'T. Cardozo
64'

Chances to win

Brann%83

Draw%11

Lincoln Red Imps FC%5

At a glance

Over 1.5

%69Over 2.5

%44Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

BrannL0-2W2-1W2-1L0-2L1-2

Lincoln Red Imps FCW2-0D1-1W4-0W2-0W

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Brann · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Lincoln Red Imps FC · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Brann · last 9 at home8.3 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/9Over 4.5 corners7/9Over 5.5 corners6/9Over 0.5 cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Brann win.

%83Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%69

Not both score%56

Both score%44

Under 2.5%31

Draw%11

Lincoln Red Imps FC win%5

Why?

Brann · last 10 at home: 6 wins6/10

Brann won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Brann scored 1.9 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Lincoln Red Imps FC scored 1.7 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Brann: 10 games · Lincoln Red Imps FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.92.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

9/10Over 1.5league %779/10

8/10Over 2.5league %534/10

4/10Over 3.5league %341/10

3/10Over 4.5league %181/10

7/10Both scoreleague %535/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Brann: 10 games · Lincoln Red Imps FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.2Total goals per gameleague 2.92.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

10/10Over 1.5league %7710/10

7/10Over 2.5league %535/10

3/10Over 3.5league %342/10

2/10Over 4.5league %181/10

7/10Both scoreleague %534/10

1/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%78 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Brann win 775, 191 end level and Lincoln Red Imps FC win 34. The actual result comes up 775 times in 1000.

1.78 – 0.19 The score the chances deserved (xG): Brann 1.78 – 0.19 Lincoln Red Imps FC.

17 – 4 Shots: Brann 17 – 4 Lincoln Red Imps FC.

8 – 2 Shots on target: Brann 8 – 2 Lincoln Red Imps FC.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Brann · UEFA Europa Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps FC · UEFA Europa Conference League

Brann · All games

Lincoln Red Imps FC · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match