Brann – Viking: probabilities, statistics and live score

BrannEliteserien · #9

0-2Friday, October 9

VikingEliteserien · #1

Match events

BrannViking

11'⚽Henrik HeggheimAssist: Henrik Bjørdal
20'⚽Peter ChristiansenAssist: Henrik Heggheim
39'VARKristoffer AskildsenCard upgrade confirmed
39'Kristoffer Askildsen
45'Jonas Tviberg Torsvik
45'⇄Joachim SoltvedtOff: Vetle Winger Dragsnes

Chances to win

Brann%28

Draw%23

Viking%49

At a glance

Over 1.5

%68Over 2.5

%68Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

BrannW2-1W2-1L0-2L1-2D0-0

VikingW3-0W3-0W8-1L1-3D

Last 7 meetings

1Brann won

2Draw

4Viking won

3.1
Goals per game4/7
Over 2.55/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Brann · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Viking · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Brann · last 9 at home7.8 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/9Over 4.5 corners7/9Over 5.5 corners6/9Over 0.5 cards

Viking · 4-4-2

1A. Østbø

5H. Heggheim

6G. Stensness

25H. Falchener

28K. Haugen

7K. Askildsen

8J. Bell

10Z. Tripić

16H. Bjørdal

20P. Christiansen

22E. Botheim

Bench

Ľ. Belko, H. Haugen, Vetle Auklend, J. Daland, S. Kvia-Egeskog, T. Moi, J. Hansen, R. Postema, N. Fuglestad

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%68Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%68

Viking win%49

Not both score%32

Under 2.5%32

Brann win%28

Draw%23

Why?

Brann · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 9 times9/10

Viking · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Brann: 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
Viking: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
Brann scored 2.0 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Viking scored 1.7 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Brann: 10 games · Viking: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.4Total goals per gameleague 3.23.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

8/10Over 2.5league %638/10

4/10Over 3.5league %375/10

3/10Over 4.5league %221/10

7/10Both scoreleague %607/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score0/10

Brann: 10 games · Viking: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)2.9

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.24.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

7/10Over 2.5league %639/10

3/10Over 3.5league %377/10

2/10Over 4.5league %224/10

7/10Both scoreleague %607/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

2.77 – 1.27 The score the chances deserved (xG): Brann 2.77 – 1.27 Viking.

%15 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Brann win 688, 161 end level and Viking win 151. The actual result comes up 151 times in 1000.

29 – 9 Shots: Brann 29 – 9 Viking.

13 – 4 Corners: Brann 13 – 4 Viking.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Brann's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Brann · Eliteserien

Viking · Eliteserien

Brann · All games

Viking · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match