NEC Nijmegen – Groningen: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 10

NEC NijmegenEredivisie · #12

2-2Sunday, October 25

GroningenEredivisie · #8

Match events

NEC NijmegenGroningen

11'⚽Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonAssist: Marco Rente
34'⚽Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonAssist: Thom Van Bergen
42'Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
45'⇄Tobias StormOff: Perr Schuurs
56'David van der Werff
56'⇄Mitchel BakkerOff: Deveron Fonville

Chances to win

NEC Nijmegen%43

Draw%24

Groningen%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%67Over 2.5

%68Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%67Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%68

NEC Nijmegen win%43

Under 2.5%33

Groningen win%33

Not both score%32

Draw%24

Why?

NEC Nijmegen: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

NEC NijmegenW4-2D2-2D1-1D1-1D1-1

GroningenL2-5W5-1W3-0D1-1D2-2

Last 15 meetings

6NEC Nijmegen won

5Draw

4Groningen won

3.0
Goals per game8/15
Over 2.59/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

NEC Nijmegen · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Groningen · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

NEC Nijmegen · last 10 at home7.2 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Groningen · last 10 away4.8 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

N. Polster, Freek Entius, M. Bakker, T. Storm, Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar, Gabriel Brás, I. Hansen-Aarøen, W. Willumsson, D. Geiger, K. Sierhuis, Adam Tahaui

Groningen · 4-2-3-1

1E. Vaessen

3T. Blokzijl

4M. Csinger

5M. Rente

33H. Hateboer

8T. de Jonge

14J. Schreuders

17D. van der Werff

24P. Clement

26T. van Bergen

9B. Willumsson

Bench

L. Štubljar, P. Boevink, Wouter Prins, M. Brandis, J. Mosselaar, T. Hernes, A. Nordin, T. Land, Besnik Mashuku, J. Ondrejka, O. Zawada, Nils Eggens

NEC Nijmegen – GroningenNovember 3, 2024 · Eredivisie6-0

Groningen – NEC NijmegenApril 25, 2023 · Eredivisie0-1

NEC Nijmegen – GroningenAugust 26, 2022 · Eredivisie1-1

Groningen – NEC NijmegenMarch 12, 2022 · Eredivisie4-3

Groningen – NEC NijmegenJanuary 19, 2022 · KNVB Beker1-2

NEC Nijmegen – GroningenOctober 31, 2021 · Eredivisie3-0

Groningen – NEC NijmegenSeptember 4, 2020 · Friendlies Clubs3-3

Groningen – NEC NijmegenApril 5, 2017 · Eredivisie2-0

NEC Nijmegen – GroningenNovember 5, 2016 · Eredivisie1-1

Groningen – NEC NijmegenJanuary 22, 2016 · Eredivisie0-0

NEC Nijmegen – GroningenOctober 25, 2015 · Eredivisie1-1

Kaj SierhuisOff: Ahmetcan Kaplan

57'⚽Clement BischoffAssist: Darko Nejašmić

58'VARClement BischoffGoal confirmed

68'⇄Adam TahauiOff: Kevin Kers

72'⇄Wouter PrinsOff: Mark Csinger

73'⇄Tygo LandOff: Tika de Jonge

73'⇄Nils EggensOff: Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson

77'⇄Travis HernesOff: David van der Werff

Statistics

59%Possession41%

1.88Expected goals1.51

22Total shots9

9Shots on target3

11Corners2

9Fouls13

2Offsides3

0Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

1Saves6

Groningen: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

NEC Nijmegen scored 1.3 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Groningen scored 1.9 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

NEC Nijmegen · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Groningen · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

NEC Nijmegen: 10 games · Groningen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.83.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

10/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

7/10Over 2.5league %736/10

5/10Over 3.5league %615/10

0/10Over 4.5league %323/10

10/10Both scoreleague %728/10

0/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score1/10

NEC Nijmegen: 10 games · Groningen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)2.2

2.2Goals conceded (avg)2.2

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.84.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

10/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

7/10Over 2.5league %738/10

6/10Over 3.5league %617/10

2/10Over 4.5league %325/10

8/10Both scoreleague %728/10

0/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%22 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), NEC Nijmegen win 465, 223 end level and Groningen win 312. The actual result comes up 223 times in 1000.

%24 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.88 – 1.51 The score the chances deserved (xG): NEC Nijmegen 1.88 – 1.51 Groningen.

22 – 9 Shots: NEC Nijmegen 22 – 9 Groningen.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie

Groningen · Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen · All games

Groningen · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at NEC Nijmegen's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match