Excelsior – Groningen: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 8

ExcelsiorEredivisie · #13

1-5Sunday, October 11

GroningenEredivisie · #8

Match events

ExcelsiorGroningen

7'⚽Marco Rente
20'David van der Werff
36'⚽Irakli YegoianPenalty
38'⚽Stijn van GasselOwn goal
59'VARJorg SchreudersPenalty confirmed
64'⚽Thom Van BergenPenalty
65'

Chances to win

Excelsior%37

Draw%26

Groningen%37

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%64Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%60

Under 2.5%40

Excelsior win%37

Groningen win%37

Not both score%36

Draw%26

Why?

Excelsior: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

ExcelsiorD2-2L1-2D2-2W3-0W2-1

GroningenW3-0D1-1D2-2L2-3L1-5

Last 5 meetings

2Excelsior won

0Draw

3Groningen won

2.6
Goals per game2/5
Over 2.51/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Excelsior · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Groningen · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Excelsior · last 10 at home4.5 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Groningen · last 10 away4.6 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

Celton Biai, O. Turay, D. van Vianen, V. Sulzbacher, Giulliano Cairo, Mario Domínguez, A. Jahanbakhsh, K. Bos, I. Silva Timas, N. Groen

Groningen · 4-2-3-1

1E. Vaessen

3T. Blokzijl

5M. Rente

14J. Schreuders

33H. Hateboer

8T. de Jonge

11J. Ondrejka

17D. van der Werff

24P. Clement

26T. van Bergen

9B. Willumsson

Bench

L. Štubljar, P. Boevink, Wouter Prins, M. Csinger, J. Mosselaar, A. Nordin, T. Land, J. Hall, O. Zawada, Nils Eggens, R. Metu

Excelsior – GroningenJanuary 8, 2023 · Eredivisie1-0

Mario Domínguez FrancoOff: David Garden

65'⇄Kasey BosOff: Simon Janssen

65'⇄Valentin SulzbacherOff: Eric da Silva Moreira

65'⇄Daniel van VianenOff: Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson

66'⇄Tygo LandOff: Jacob Ondrejka

67'⚽Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonAssist: Pelle Clement

72'⇄Mark CsingerOff: Hans Hateboer

81'⇄Alireza JahanbakhshOff: Aymen sliti

84'⇄Nils EggensOff: Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson

85'⇄Ryan MetuOff: Thom Van Bergen

85'⇄Oskar ZawadaOff: David van der Werff

Statistics

49%Possession51%

1.81Expected goals2.64

16Total shots14

2Shots on target9

3Corners6

10Fouls12

1Offsides0

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

5Saves1

Groningen: both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Excelsior scored 1.4 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Groningen scored 1.5 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Excelsior · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

Groningen · last 10 away: both scored 8 times8/10

Excelsior: 10 games · Groningen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.83.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

9/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

7/10Over 2.5league %736/10

2/10Over 3.5league %615/10

2/10Over 4.5league %323/10

7/10Both scoreleague %728/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Excelsior: 10 games · Groningen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.9Goals conceded (avg)2.2

3.4Total goals per gameleague 3.84.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

9/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

9/10Over 2.5league %738/10

4/10Over 3.5league %617/10

1/10Over 4.5league %325/10

6/10Both scoreleague %728/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.81 – 2.64 The score the chances deserved (xG): Excelsior 1.81 – 2.64 Groningen.

%56 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Excelsior win 260, 182 end level and Groningen win 558. The actual result comes up 558 times in 1000.

2 – 9 Shots on target: Excelsior 2 – 9 Groningen.

8.9

Man of the match: M. Rente (Groningen), rated 8.9.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Excelsior · Eredivisie

Groningen · Eredivisie

Excelsior · All games

Groningen · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Excelsior's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match