Fluminense – Internacional: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 33

FluminenseSerie A · #4

2-1Thursday, October 29

InternacionalSerie A · #18

Match events

FluminenseInternacional

45'⇄VitinhoOff: Alexandro Bernabéi
46'⚽Alan PatrickAssist: Matheus Bahia
58'⇄Rodrigo VillagraOff: Thiago Maia
58'⇄Luciano AcostaOff: Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima
58'⇄Rodrigo CastilloOff: Hulk
60'Alerrandro

Chances to win

Fluminense%52

Draw%26

Internacional%22

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Fluminense win.

%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%52

Under 2.5%51

Over 2.5%49

Not both score%48

Draw%26

Internacional win%22

Why?

Fluminense won 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

FluminenseL1-2W1-0L1-2L1-2L0-1

InternacionalW3-0L0-2D1-1W2-1L0-1

Last 15 meetings

6Fluminense won

4Draw

5Internacional won

2.3
Goals per game5/15
Over 2.56/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Fluminense · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Internacional · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Fluminense · last 10 at home5.3 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Internacional · last 10 away3.9 corners, 3.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Bench

Vitor Eudes, Samuel Xavier, Guilherme Arana, Igor Rabello, J. Freytes, L. Acosta, Otávio, G. Cano, R. Castillo, Y. Soteldo, Wesley Nata, K. Serna

Internacional · 3-4-2-1

22Kauan

3G. Maripán

15Bruno Gomes

18Juninho

6Matheus Bahia

10Alan Patrick

16Ronaldo

26A. Bernabéi

29Thiago Maia

35B. Aguirre

9Alerrandro

Bench

Henrique Menke, G. Mercado, Victor Gabriel, R. Villagra, Bruno Henrique, N. Eliasson, Paulinho, Calebe, J. Carbonero, Vitinho, Victor Joao, J. Bezerra

Internacional – FluminenseJune 2, 2025 · Serie A0-2

Internacional – FluminenseNovember 9, 2024 · Serie A2-0

Fluminense – InternacionalJuly 5, 2024 · Serie A1-1

Internacional – FluminenseNovember 9, 2023 · Serie A0-0

Internacional – FluminenseOctober 5, 2023 · CONMEBOL Libertadores1-2

Fluminense – InternacionalSeptember 28, 2023 · CONMEBOL Libertadores2-2

Fluminense – InternacionalJuly 9, 2023 · Serie A2-0

Internacional – FluminenseAugust 15, 2022 · Serie A3-0

Fluminense – InternacionalApril 24, 2022 · Serie A0-1

Fluminense – InternacionalNovember 25, 2021 · Serie A1-0

Internacional – FluminenseAugust 16, 2021 · Serie A4-2

63'Ignácio da Silva Oliveira

70'Renê Rodrigues Martins

73'⇄Wesley Natã de Freitas PradoOff: Jefferson David Savarino Quintero

73'⇄Kevin SernaOff: Agustín Canobbio

78'⚽Hércules Pereira do Nascimento

80'⇄Guilherme AranaOff: Renê Rodrigues Martins

89'⇄Paulo Lucas Santos de PaulaOff: Alan Patrick

89'⇄joao victorOff: Ronaldo da Silva Souza

90+5'⇄Victor Gabriel Da Conceicao RibeiroOff: Matheus Bahia

90+7'⚽Luciano Acosta

Statistics

76%Possession24%

1.57Expected goals1.1

16Total shots13

6Shots on target5

8Corners5

15Fouls21

1Offsides2

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

4Saves4

Fluminense scored 1.5 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Internacional scored 0.8 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Fluminense · last 10 at home: 5 wins5/10

Internacional · last 10 away: 7 defeats7/10

Fluminense: 10 games · Internacional: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.72.5

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

8/10Over 1.5league %788/10

7/10Over 2.5league %515/10

3/10Over 3.5league %252/10

1/10Over 4.5league %131/10

6/10Both scoreleague %596/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

Fluminense: 10 games · Internacional: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.73.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %789/10

8/10Over 2.5league %517/10

3/10Over 3.5league %253/10

0/10Over 4.5league %132/10

7/10Both scoreleague %597/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

90+7'

Luciano Acosta decided it in minute 90.

%48 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Fluminense win 482, 252 end level and Internacional win 266. The actual result comes up 482 times in 1000.

1.57 – 1.10 The score the chances deserved (xG): Fluminense 1.57 – 1.10 Internacional.

76 – 24 Possession (%): Fluminense 76 – 24 Internacional.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Fluminense · Serie A

Internacional · Serie A

Fluminense · All games

Internacional · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Fluminense's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match