Mirassol – Internacional: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 31

MirassolSerie A · #16

2-0Saturday, October 17

InternacionalSerie A · #17

Match events

MirassolInternacional

15'Matheus Cunha
17'⇄Kauan Jesus Santos OliveiraOff: Alexandro Bernabéi
43'Vitinho
45'⇄Felix TorresOff: Alerrandro
45'⇄Alesson dos Santos BatistaOff: Neto Moura
45+5'Neto Moura

Chances to win

Mirassol%45

Draw%28

Internacional%28

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%51Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%54

Over 2.5%49

Not both score%46

Mirassol win%45

Internacional win%28

Draw%28

Why?

Mirassol: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

MirassolL0-1D1-1W2-0D2-2W2-1

InternacionalD1-1W2-1L0-1W2-1L2-3

Last 3 meetings

2Mirassol won

1Draw

0Internacional won

3.0
Goals per game2/3
Over 2.53/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Mirassol · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Internacional · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Mirassol · last 9 at home5.2 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners3/9

Internacional · last 10 away4.3 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Bench

Thomazella, Lucas Oliveira, Daniel Borges, Gabriel, Japa, Chico, Wallisson, André Luís, Fernandinho, Alesson, Carlos Eduardo, Zé Roberto

Internacional · 3-4-2-1

23Matheus Cunha

15Bruno Gomes

18Juninho

25G. Mercado

5R. Villagra

6Matheus Bahia

26A. Bernabéi

28Vitinho

29Thiago Maia

35B. Aguirre

9Alerrandro

Bench

Kauan, F. Torres, Victor Gabriel, Bruno Henrique, Ronaldo, N. Eliasson, Paulinho, Calebe, J. Carbonero, Victor Joao, J. Bezerra

Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira AlveAssist: Edson Carioca

59'⇄joao victorOff: José Carlos Ferreira Júnior

60'⇄Johan CarboneroOff: Matheus Bahia

68'⇄FernandinhoOff: Edson Carioca

68'⇄WallissonOff: Denilson Alves Borges

74'⇄André LuisOff: Bruno Santos de Oliveira

79'⇄Chico KimOff: Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve

82'⇄João BezerraOff: Thiago Maia

87'⚽André LuisAssist: Fernandinho

90+1'Kauan Jesus Santos Oliveira

90+2'✕ReinaldoMissed penalty

Statistics

62%Possession38%

3.2Expected goals0.72

24Total shots13

7Shots on target4

5Corners2

13Fouls13

1Offsides1

2Yellow cards6

0Red cards1

3Saves5

Internacional: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Mirassol scored 1.5 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Internacional scored 0.8 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Mirassol · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Internacional · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Mirassol: 10 games · Internacional: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.72.5

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

10/10Over 1.5league %788/10

4/10Over 2.5league %515/10

2/10Over 3.5league %252/10

1/10Over 4.5league %131/10

8/10Both scoreleague %596/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score4/10

Mirassol: 10 games · Internacional: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.73.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

9/10Over 1.5league %789/10

2/10Over 2.5league %517/10

1/10Over 3.5league %253/10

0/10Over 4.5league %132/10

5/10Both scoreleague %597/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%85 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Mirassol win 848, 100 end level and Internacional win 52. The actual result comes up 848 times in 1000.

3.20 – 0.72 The score the chances deserved (xG): Mirassol 3.20 – 0.72 Internacional.

8.2

Man of the match: Eduardo (Mirassol), rated 8.2.

%45 Our model's pre-match chance of a Mirassol win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Mirassol · Serie A

Internacional · Serie A

Mirassol · All games

Internacional · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match