Chapecoense-sc – Fluminense: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 32

Chapecoense-scSerie A · #20

2-1Sunday, October 25

FluminenseSerie A · #4

Match events

Chapecoense-scFluminense

9'⚽Yannick BolasieAssist: Giovanni Augusto
30'⚽Claudio Rodrigues GomesAssist: Hulk
37'Camilo Reijers de Oliveira
45'⇄Tulio Eduardo Silva De OliveiraOff: Maurício Garcez
56'⚽Giovanni AugustoAssist: Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira
57'Yago Felipe

Chances to win

Chapecoense-sc%23

Draw%26

Fluminense%51

At a glance

Over 1.5

%51Over 2.5

%53Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Fluminense win.

%51Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%53

Over 2.5%51

Under 2.5%49

Not both score%47

Draw%26

Chapecoense-sc win%23

Why?

Fluminense won 2 of their last 10 away matches.

Last 5 matches

Chapecoense-scL0-1L1-4L0-4D1-1L1-2

FluminenseW1-0L1-2L1-2L0-1W4-0

Last 15 meetings

6Chapecoense-sc won

4Draw

5Fluminense won

3.0
Goals per game10/15
Over 2.511/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Chapecoense-sc · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Fluminense · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Chapecoense-sc · last 7 at home4.9 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/7Over 4.5 corners4/7Over 5.5 corners3/7Over 0.5 cards

Fluminense · last 10 away2.8 corners, 3.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners1/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Bench

Matheus Aurélio, Fernando, Rafael Thyere, Dudu, Bruno Matias, David Antunes, Max, Miguel Carvalho, F. Rossi, Rodrigo, K. Ramírez

Fluminense · 4-2-3-1

1Fábio

4Ignacio

13Guilherme Arana

21Igor Rabello

23Guga

10PH Ganso

16Nonato

34Wesley Nata

35Hércules

90K. Serna

7Hulk

Bench

Vitor Eudes, Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Renê, J. Freytes, L. Acosta, Otávio, G. Cano, A. Canobbio, R. Castillo, Riquelme

Chapecoense-SC – FluminenseJune 14, 2019 · Serie A1-1

Chapecoense-sc – FluminenseSeptember 25, 2018 · Serie A1-2

Fluminense – Chapecoense-scMay 26, 2018 · Serie A3-1

Chapecoense-sc – FluminenseOctober 23, 2017 · Serie A2-0

Fluminense – Chapecoense-scJuly 4, 2017 · Serie A3-3

Fluminense – Chapecoense-scSeptember 16, 2016 · Serie A1-2

Chapecoense-sc – FluminenseJune 5, 2016 · Serie A0-0

Fluminense – Chapecoense-scNovember 8, 2015 · Serie A2-3

Chapecoense-sc – FluminenseJuly 26, 2015 · Serie A2-1

Fluminense – Chapecoense-scNovember 20, 2014 · Serie A1-4

Chapecoense-sc – FluminenseAugust 21, 2014 · Serie A1-0

Riquelme Felipe·Silva de AlmeidaOff: Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado

65'⇄Luciano AcostaOff: Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima

70'⇄Kevin RamírezOff: Yannick Bolasie

70'⇄Bruno MatiasOff: Yago Felipe

73'⇄Rafael ThyereOff: João Paulo

79'⇄Rodrigo CastilloOff: Hércules Pereira do Nascimento

83'⇄Fernando Augusto Pereira Bueno JúniorOff: Marcio Antonio de Sousa Junior

85'⇄Germán Ezequiel Cano RecaldeOff: Hulk

85'⇄Renê Rodrigues MartinsOff: Igor Rabello

90+2'Guilherme Arana

Statistics

26%Possession74%

0.59Expected goals1.44

6Total shots16

3Shots on target4

3Corners6

12Fouls12

2Offsides0

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

3Saves1

Chapecoense-sc scored 1.5 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Fluminense scored 1.2 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Chapecoense-sc: 10 games · Fluminense: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.6

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

8/10Over 1.5league %787/10

8/10Over 2.5league %515/10

5/10Over 3.5league %253/10

3/10Over 4.5league %131/10

6/10Both scoreleague %597/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Chapecoense-sc: 10 games · Fluminense: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.5

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.72.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %788/10

7/10Over 2.5league %518/10

3/10Over 3.5league %253/10

1/10Over 4.5league %130/10

6/10Both scoreleague %597/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Chapecoense-sc: a 5-match wait for a win is over.

%15 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Chapecoense-sc win 152, 269 end level and Fluminense win 579. The actual result comes up 152 times in 1000.

%23 Our model's pre-match chance of a Chapecoense-sc win.

6 – 16 Shots: Chapecoense-sc 6 – 16 Fluminense.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Chapecoense-sc · Serie A

Fluminense · Serie A

Chapecoense-sc · All games

Fluminense · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Chapecoense-sc's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match