Botafogo – Chapecoense-sc: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 31

BotafogoSerie A · #12

1-0Sunday, October 18

Chapecoense-scSerie A · #20

Match events

BotafogoChapecoense-sc

7'⚽Tiquinho SoaresAssist: Matheus Martins
14'Kauan Faria
45'⇄Yannick BolasieOff: Fernando Augusto Pereira Bueno Júnior
55'⇄Cristian MedinaOff: Hakim Ziyech
62'⇄RodrigoOff: Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira
62'⇄MaxOff: Giovanni Augusto

Chances to win

Botafogo%69

Draw%18

Chapecoense-sc%12

At a glance

Over 1.5

%64Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Botafogo win.

%69Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%64

Both score%56

Not both score%44

Under 2.5%36

Draw%18

Chapecoense-sc win%12

Why?

Botafogo won 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BotafogoD1-1L1-2L0-2W3-2D1-1

Chapecoense-scL1-4L0-4D1-1L1-2W2-1

Last 3 meetings

2Botafogo won

0Draw

1Chapecoense-sc won

2.7
Goals per game1/3
Over 2.51/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Botafogo · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Chapecoense-sc · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Botafogo · last 10 at home6.3 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

Chapecoense-sc · last 9 away3.8 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners4/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards5/9

Bench

Warleson, M. Ponte, Paulinho, G. Justino, C. Medina, Kauan Toledo, Huguinho, Domingos Andrade, Júnior Santos, Arthur Cabral, K. Barria, L. Villalba, Danilo

Chapecoense-sc · 4-2-3-1

98Anderson

3Doma

20Bruno Tubarão

21Kauan Faria Gomes

91Bruno Pacheco

10Giovanni Augusto

12Fernando

27Camilo

31Garcez

88Yago Felipe

Bench

Matheus Aurélio, João Paulo, Rafael Thyere, Dudu, Bruno Matias, Max, Miguel Carvalho, Y. Bolasie, F. Rossi, Rodrigo

65'⇄domingos andradeOff: Allan

66'⇄DaniloOff: Tiquinho Soares

76'⇄Júnior SantosOff: Matheus Martins

76'⇄Kauan ToledoOff: Álvaro Montoro

82'⇄Luis Eduardo Marques dos SantosOff: Bruno Nunes De Barros

88'⇄F. RossiOff: Camilo Reijers de Oliveira

Statistics

51%Possession49%

2.44Expected goals0.24

20Total shots9

11Shots on target0

4Corners4

9Fouls12

2Offsides1

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

0Saves10

Botafogo scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Chapecoense-sc scored 0.7 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Chapecoense-sc · last 10 away: 7 defeats7/10

Botafogo: 10 games · Chapecoense-sc: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)0.7

1.0Goals conceded (avg)2.1

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.72.8

8/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

6/10Over 1.5league %789/10

4/10Over 2.5league %516/10

2/10Over 3.5league %253/10

2/10Over 4.5league %130/10

6/10Both scoreleague %595/10

4/10Clean sheets0/10

2/10Failed to score5/10

Botafogo: 10 games · Chapecoense-sc: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.6Goals conceded (avg)2.0

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.9

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %788/10

5/10Over 2.5league %517/10

1/10Over 3.5league %253/10

1/10Over 4.5league %131/10

5/10Both scoreleague %596/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

2.44 – 0.24 The score the chances deserved (xG): Botafogo 2.44 – 0.24 Chapecoense-sc.

%86 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Botafogo win 861, 115 end level and Chapecoense-sc win 24. The actual result comes up 861 times in 1000.

20 – 9 Shots: Botafogo 20 – 9 Chapecoense-sc.

11 – 0 Shots on target: Botafogo 11 – 0 Chapecoense-sc.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Botafogo · Serie A

Chapecoense-sc · Serie A

Botafogo · All games

Chapecoense-sc · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match