Botafogo – Vasco DA Gama: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 29

BotafogoSerie A · #11

1-2Thursday, October 8

Vasco DA GamaSerie A · #13

Match events

BotafogoVasco DA Gama

28'⚽Alan LescanoAssist: Bruno Duarte Da Silva
42'⇄DavidOff: Bruno Duarte Da Silva
51'⚽DavidAssist: Facundo Colidio
57'⇄Júnior SantosOff: Cristian Medina
60'⚽Alex Telles
65'⇄Tchê TchêOff: Alan Lescano

Chances to win

Botafogo%35

Draw%26

Vasco DA Gama%39

At a glance

Over 1.5

%57Over 2.5

%61Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%57

Under 2.5%43

Not both score%39

Vasco DA Gama win%39

Botafogo win%35

Draw%26

Why?

Botafogo: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BotafogoL0-2W3-2D1-1D0-0L0-3

Vasco DA GamaW5-0W2-0W2-1D0-0L0-1

Last 11 meetings

5Botafogo won

3Draw

3Vasco DA Gama won

2.1
Goals per game3/11
Over 2.54/11
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Botafogo · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Vasco DA Gama · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Botafogo · last 10 at home6.1 corners, 3.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners4/10

Vasco DA Gama · last 10 away4.4 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Warleson, M. Ponte, Marçal, Paulinho, L. Monzón, Allan, Kauan Toledo, Domingos Andrade, Júnior Santos, Tiquinho Soares, K. Barria, Danilo

Vasco DA Gama · 4-1-4-1

1Léo Jardim

4A. Saldivia

30Robert Renan

66Cuiabano

96Paulo Henrique

5S. Sosa

9F. Colidio

18M. Hinestroza

22A. Lescano

23Thiago Mendes

19Bruno Duarte

Bench

Daniel Fuzato, J. Rodríguez, Lucas Piton, Lucas Freitas, Gabriel Pereira, Tchê Tchê, Jair, Nuno Moreira, Ramon Rique, David, Adson, C. Spinelli

Vasco DA Gama – BotafogoAugust 28, 2025 · Copa Do Brasil1-1

Vasco DA Gama – BotafogoJuly 13, 2025 · Serie A0-2

Vasco DA Gama – BotafogoFebruary 24, 2025 · Carioca - 11-0

Botafogo – Vasco DA GamaNovember 6, 2024 · Serie A3-0

Vasco DA Gama – BotafogoJune 30, 2024 · Serie A1-1

Vasco DA Gama – BotafogoNovember 7, 2023 · Serie A1-0

Botafogo – Vasco DA GamaJuly 2, 2023 · Serie A2-0

AdsonOff: Marino Hinestroza

69'⇄Kauan ToledoOff: Matheus Martins

74'VARThiago MendesGoal cancelled

80'⇄Mateo PonteOff: Vitinho

80'⇄Kadir BarríaOff: Hakim Ziyech

80'⇄Tiquinho SoaresOff: Arthur Cabral

84'VARTiquinho SoaresGoal cancelled

85'Adenor Leonardo Bacchi

88'⇄Jose Luis RodriguezOff: Paulo Henrique

88'⇄Nuno MoreiraOff: Facundo Colidio

90+7'Nahuel Ferraresi

Statistics

45%Possession55%

11Total shots17

2Shots on target8

7Corners14

10Fouls12

3Offsides2

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

5Saves1

Vasco DA Gama: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Botafogo scored 1.5 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Vasco DA Gama scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Botafogo · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

Vasco DA Gama · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Botafogo: 10 games · Vasco DA Gama: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.0Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.72.1

8/10Over 0.5league %958/10

6/10Over 1.5league %785/10

4/10Over 2.5league %514/10

2/10Over 3.5league %252/10

2/10Over 4.5league %132/10

6/10Both scoreleague %594/10

4/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Botafogo: 10 games · Vasco DA Gama: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.9

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

8/10Over 1.5league %787/10

5/10Over 2.5league %516/10

1/10Over 3.5league %254/10

1/10Over 4.5league %133/10

5/10Both scoreleague %595/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 11 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Botafogo · Serie A

Vasco DA Gama · Serie A

Botafogo · All games

Vasco DA Gama · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Botafogo's ground

Last 11 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals