PEC Zwolle – FC OSS: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·KNVB Beker · Netherlands · Round of 64

PEC ZwolleEredivisie · #15

1-2Wednesday, October 28

FC OSSEerste Divisie: Regular season · #15

Match events

PEC ZwolleFC OSS

18'⚽L. MolOwn goal
34'⚽D. Vianello
46'⇄G. van der WalOff: Y. Namli
50'⚽M. HinokeAssist: L. Miguel
58'⇄E. SorensenOff: D. Mbayo
58'⇄N. FichtingerOff: R. Thomas
59'

Chances to win

PEC Zwolle%70

Draw%18

FC OSS%12

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is PEC Zwolle win.

%70Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%63

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Under 2.5%37

Draw%18

FC OSS win%12

Why?

PEC Zwolle won 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

PEC ZwolleD1-1W4-1L0-1L0-3L0-7

FC OSSD3-3L1-2W3-1W4-1L0-1

Last 2 meetings

2PEC Zwolle won

0Draw

0FC OSS won

5.0
Goals per game2/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

PEC Zwolle · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

FC OSS · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

PEC Zwolle · last 10 at home4.2 corners, 1.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

FC OSS · last 10 away4.7 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

10Richard van der Venne

27Maurilio de Lannoy

Bench

Sven Jansen, Ilounga Pata, Quint Jansen, Alvaro Henry, Maxim Mariani, Jay Kuiper, Milo Horemans, Marcelencio Esajas, Kyanno Silva, Franslyn Nsingi, Mert Erkan, Siriné Doucouré

60'⇄M. HoremansOff: R. van der Venne

60'⇄S. DoucoureOff: A. Visser

70'⇄S. van HooijdonkOff: T. Oosting

73'⇄Q. JansenOff: M. de Lannoy

77'⇄M. EsajasOff: J. Bynoe

86'⇄J. BurgerOff: O. Aertssen

Statistics

73%Possession27%

14Total shots6

6Shots on target3

8Corners5

11Fouls10

2Offsides1

0Yellow cards1

1Saves6

90%Pass accuracy66%

PEC Zwolle scored 1.1 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

FC OSS scored 1.1 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

FC OSS · last 10 away: 7 defeats7/10

PEC Zwolle: 10 games · FC OSS: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.1

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.72.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

8/10Over 1.5league %868/10

6/10Over 2.5league %647/10

4/10Over 3.5league %492/10

2/10Over 4.5league %281/10

5/10Both scoreleague %536/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

PEC Zwolle: 10 games · FC OSS: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)2.0

2.3Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.73.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %869/10

7/10Over 2.5league %649/10

5/10Over 3.5league %494/10

2/10Over 4.5league %282/10

6/10Both scoreleague %538/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%12 Our model's pre-match chance of an FC OSS win.

14 – 6 Shots: PEC Zwolle 14 – 6 FC OSS.

73 – 27 Possession (%): PEC Zwolle 73 – 27 FC OSS.

8.3

Man of the match: Mauresmo Hinoke (FC OSS), rated 8.3.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

PEC Zwolle · All games

FC OSS · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match