Utrecht – PEC Zwolle: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 10

UtrechtEredivisie · #11

1-1Saturday, October 24

PEC ZwolleEredivisie · #15

Match events

UtrechtPEC Zwolle

26'Oualid Agougil
45'⇄Elias SörensenOff: Dylan Mbayo
62'⇄Adrian BlakeOff: Niklas Vesterlund
71'⇄Jan BurgerOff: Damian van der Haar
72'⚽Elias SörensenAssist: Thijs Oosting
74'⇄S. van DuijnOff: Yoann Cathline

Chances to win

Utrecht%58

Draw%23

PEC Zwolle%19

At a glance

Over 1.5

%61Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%59

Utrecht win%58

Not both score%41

Under 2.5%39

Draw%23

PEC Zwolle win%19

Why?

Utrecht: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

UtrechtW2-1W3-1L0-5W2-1D3-3

PEC ZwolleW4-1L0-1L0-3L0-7D2-2

Last 15 meetings

7Utrecht won

6Draw

2PEC Zwolle won

3.7
Goals per game7/15
Over 2.510/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Utrecht · last 10 at home6/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

PEC Zwolle · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Utrecht · last 10 at home5.0 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

PEC Zwolle · last 10 away4.5 corners, 1.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards3/10

Bench

M. Eppink, K. Gadellaa, G. Offerhaus, J. Medić, N. Ogidi Nwankwo, P. Kloosterboer, D. van den Berg, Artem Stepanov, A. Blake, S. van Duijn, N. Amrabat

PEC Zwolle · 4-2-3-1

1J. Schendelaar

3O. Aertssen

24N. Viergever

28S. Graves

33D. van der Haar

8T. Sommer

11D. Mbayo

25T. Oosting

30R. Thomas

37Gilles van der Wal

17S. van Hooijdonk

Bench

T. de Graaff, D. Verduin, T. Velthuis, Jan Bürger, Dylan Ruward, G. Reiziger, Jadiel Pereira da Gama, N. Fichtinger, Y. Namli, E. Sørensen, K. Kostons, I. Cissoko

Utrecht – PEC ZwolleApril 3, 2024 · Eredivisie5-1

PEC Zwolle – UtrechtAugust 27, 2023 · Eredivisie1-0

PEC Zwolle – UtrechtMay 7, 2022 · Eredivisie1-1

Utrecht – PEC ZwolleSeptember 25, 2021 · Eredivisie5-1

Utrecht – PEC ZwolleJanuary 30, 2021 · Eredivisie3-3

PEC Zwolle – UtrechtNovember 21, 2020 · Eredivisie1-1

PEC Zwolle – UtrechtAugust 29, 2020 · Friendlies Clubs0-2

PEC Zwolle – UtrechtJanuary 17, 2020 · Eredivisie3-3

Utrecht – PEC ZwolleAugust 11, 2019 · Eredivisie3-1

PEC Zwolle – UtrechtFebruary 3, 2019 · Eredivisie4-3

Utrecht – PEC ZwolleAugust 19, 2018 · Eredivisie2-0

Artem StepanovOff: Ángel Alarcón

76'Gilles Van Der Wal

83'⇄Koen KostonsOff: Gilles Van Der Wal

83'⇄Nordin AmrabatOff: Siebe Horemans

83'⇄Davy Van Den BergOff: Oualid Agougil

89'Joris van Overeem

90+1'⚽S. van Duijn

Statistics

60%Possession40%

1.66Expected goals0.95

23Total shots9

5Shots on target5

7Corners2

11Fouls8

2Offsides2

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

4Saves4

PEC Zwolle: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Utrecht scored 2.3 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

PEC Zwolle scored 1.2 and conceded 2.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Utrecht · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

PEC Zwolle · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Utrecht: 10 games · PEC Zwolle: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.8Goals conceded (avg)2.5

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.83.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

10/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

6/10Over 2.5league %736/10

6/10Over 3.5league %615/10

5/10Over 4.5league %323/10

7/10Both scoreleague %727/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Utrecht: 10 games · PEC Zwolle: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.2

2.5Goals conceded (avg)2.3

4.2Total goals per gameleague 3.83.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

9/10Over 1.5league %919/10

8/10Over 2.5league %737/10

6/10Over 3.5league %615/10

5/10Over 4.5league %322/10

8/10Both scoreleague %726/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%24 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Utrecht win 541, 244 end level and PEC Zwolle win 215. The actual result comes up 244 times in 1000.

%23 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.66 – 0.95 The score the chances deserved (xG): Utrecht 1.66 – 0.95 PEC Zwolle.

23 – 9 Shots: Utrecht 23 – 9 PEC Zwolle.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Utrecht · Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie

Utrecht · All games

PEC Zwolle · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Utrecht's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match