PEC Zwolle – GO Ahead Eagles: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 9

PEC ZwolleEredivisie · #15

4-1Sunday, October 18

GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie · #9

Match events

PEC ZwolleGO Ahead Eagles

22'⚽Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
24'⇄Damian van der HaarOff: Sherel Floranus
47'⚽Sydney van HooijdonkAssist: Dylan Mbayo
58'⚽Thijs Oosting
65'⇄Tomas GalvezOff: Dean Ruben James
65'⇄Yassir Salah RahmouniOff: Evert Linthorst
65'

Chances to win

PEC Zwolle%27

Draw%25

GO Ahead Eagles%48

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%64

GO Ahead Eagles win%48

Under 2.5%37

Not both score%36

PEC Zwolle win%27

Draw%25

Why?

PEC Zwolle: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

PEC ZwolleL0-1L0-3L0-7D2-2L1-3

GO Ahead EaglesD3-3D1-1D1-1D3-3L2-5

Last 6 meetings

0PEC Zwolle won

4Draw

2GO Ahead Eagles won

2.8
Goals per game2/6
Over 2.54/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

PEC Zwolle · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

GO Ahead Eagles · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

PEC Zwolle · last 10 at home4.9 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

GO Ahead Eagles · last 10 away4.9 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards7/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

Bench

T. de Graaff, D. Verduin, T. Velthuis, Jan Bürger, D. van der Haar, O. Velanas, G. Reiziger, Jadiel Pereira da Gama, N. Fichtinger, E. Sørensen, K. Kostons, I. Cissoko

GO Ahead Eagles · 4-2-3-1

1K. Haug

2A. Sampsted

4J. Kramer

5D. James

25G. van Zwam

8E. Linthorst

10S. Tengstedt

16V. Edvardsen

17M. Suray

21M. Meulensteen

9S. Sigurðarson

Bench

T. Hulleman, N. Verdoni, G. Nauber, T. Jukić, J. Dirksen, Tomas Galvez, R. Weijenberg, Y. Rahmouni, O. Sivertsen, R. Margaret, T. Baeten, E. Flataker

GO Ahead Eagles – PEC ZwolleFebruary 11, 2024 · Eredivisie1-1

PEC Zwolle – GO Ahead EaglesSeptember 17, 2023 · Eredivisie1-1

Thibo BaetenOff: Mathis Suray

70'⚽Thijs OostingAssist: Damian van der Haar

71'⇄Oskar Siira SivertsenOff: Alfons Sampsted

71'⇄Ibrahim CissokoOff: Dylan Mbayo

78'⇄Erik Flataker HovdenOff: Giovanni Van Zwam

80'⇄Koen KostonsOff: Sydney van Hooijdonk

80'⇄Jan BurgerOff: Gilles Van Der Wal

81'⇄Tijs VelthuisOff: Ryan Thomas

89'⚽Koen KostonsAssist: Ibrahim Cissoko

Statistics

41%Possession59%

1.81Expected goals2.76

19Total shots18

9Shots on target6

5Corners6

7Fouls8

3Offsides0

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

4Saves3

GO Ahead Eagles: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

PEC Zwolle scored 0.7 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

GO Ahead Eagles scored 1.2 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

GO Ahead Eagles · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

PEC Zwolle: 10 games · GO Ahead Eagles: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.7

2.1Goals conceded (avg)2.1

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.83.8

10/10Over 0.5league %999/10

8/10Over 1.5league %919/10

6/10Over 2.5league %737/10

4/10Over 3.5league %616/10

2/10Over 4.5league %324/10

5/10Both scoreleague %727/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

PEC Zwolle: 10 games · GO Ahead Eagles: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)2.4

2.3Goals conceded (avg)2.2

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.84.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

9/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

7/10Over 2.5league %738/10

5/10Over 3.5league %618/10

2/10Over 4.5league %326/10

6/10Both scoreleague %729/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.79 – 2.76 The score the chances deserved (xG): PEC Zwolle 1.79 – 2.76 GO Ahead Eagles.

PEC Zwolle: a 5-match wait for a win is over.

%24 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), PEC Zwolle win 241, 176 end level and GO Ahead Eagles win 583. The actual result comes up 241 times in 1000.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a PEC Zwolle win.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie

GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle · All games

GO Ahead Eagles · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at PEC Zwolle's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match