PEC Zwolle – Cambuur: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 8

PEC ZwolleEredivisie · #15

0-1Sunday, October 11

CambuurEredivisie · #10

Match events

PEC ZwolleCambuur

39'Devid Eugene Bouah
39'Sherel Floranus
45'⇄Nicolas BinderOff: Ethan Apkakou
45'⇄Jason CekaOff: Fabian Kvam
52'Ibrahim Cissoko
56'Jason Ceka
60'

Chances to win

PEC Zwolle%47

Draw%25

Cambuur%28

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%64

PEC Zwolle win%47

Under 2.5%37

Not both score%36

Cambuur win%28

Draw%25

Why?

PEC Zwolle: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

PEC ZwolleL0-3L0-7D2-2L1-3W2-0

CambuurD1-1W3-0D2-2L1-4L2-5

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

PEC Zwolle · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Cambuur · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

PEC Zwolle · last 10 at home5.0 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Cambuur · last 10 away5.5 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

T. de Graaff, D. Verduin, T. Velthuis, Jan Bürger, D. van der Haar, O. Velanas, G. Reiziger, Jadiel Pereira da Gama, N. Fichtinger, Gilles van der Wal, E. Sørensen, S. van Hooijdonk

Cambuur · 4-2-3-1

1T. Jansen

2D. Bouah

4I. Baouf

14B. van Duijl

28M. Costarelli

8N. Souren

10R. El Arguioui

11I. Hamache

15F. Kvam

17Ethan Apkakou

33M. Maertens

Bench

L. Plogmann, M. Kalisvaart, J. Berkhout, J. Amofa, R. Mulders, L. Jetten, S. Bouhoudane, S. Vink, N. Binder, W. Kooistra, Iwan Henstra, J. Çeka

Elias SörensenOff: Ibrahim Cissoko

60'⇄Sydney van HooijdonkOff: Koen Kostons

67'⇄Sami BouhoudaneOff: Mathieu Maertens

73'Morgan Costarelli

74'⇄Jamal AmofaOff: Devid Eugene Bouah

78'⇄Gilles Van Der WalOff: Thijs Oosting

78'⇄Gabriel ReizigerOff: Dylan Mbayo

79'⇄Rik MuldersOff: Jamal Amofa

83'⚽Nicolas Binder

87'⇄Damian van der HaarOff: Sherel Floranus

Statistics

46%Possession54%

1.06Expected goals0.88

15Total shots13

6Shots on target4

5Corners5

16Fouls15

1Offsides4

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

3Saves6

Cambuur: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

PEC Zwolle scored 0.8 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Cambuur scored 1.5 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

PEC Zwolle · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Cambuur · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

PEC Zwolle: 10 games · Cambuur: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.9

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.83.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

8/10Over 1.5league %919/10

6/10Over 2.5league %736/10

4/10Over 3.5league %615/10

2/10Over 4.5league %322/10

5/10Both scoreleague %727/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

PEC Zwolle: 10 games · Cambuur: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)2.1

2.3Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.83.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

9/10Over 1.5league %919/10

7/10Over 2.5league %737/10

5/10Over 3.5league %616/10

2/10Over 4.5league %323/10

6/10Both scoreleague %727/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%30 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), PEC Zwolle win 391, 312 end level and Cambuur win 296. The actual result comes up 296 times in 1000.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of an Cambuur win.

1.06 – 0.88 The score the chances deserved (xG): PEC Zwolle 1.06 – 0.88 Cambuur.

7.7

Man of the match: N. Binder (Cambuur), rated 7.7.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie

Cambuur · Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle · All games

Cambuur · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match