GO Ahead Eagles – Sparta Rotterdam: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 8

GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie · #9

3-3Saturday, October 10

Sparta RotterdamEredivisie · #14

Match events

GO Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam

23'⚽Milan ZonneveldAssist: Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi
45'⇄Yassir Salah RahmouniOff: Evert Linthorst
49'Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi
50'⚽Mathis SurayAssist: Dean Ruben James
57'⇄Thibo BaetenOff: Dean Ruben James
59'Cedric Hatenboer

Chances to win

GO Ahead Eagles%55

Draw%23

Sparta Rotterdam%23

At a glance

Over 1.5

%68Over 2.5

%66Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%68Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%66

GO Ahead Eagles win%55

Not both score%34

Under 2.5%32

Draw%23

Sparta Rotterdam win%23

Why?

GO Ahead Eagles: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

GO Ahead EaglesD1-1D1-1D3-3L2-5W3-1

Sparta RotterdamL0-4L1-4D2-2L1-2D3-3

Last 9 meetings

3GO Ahead Eagles won

3Draw

3Sparta Rotterdam won

2.1
Goals per game4/9
Over 2.54/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

GO Ahead Eagles · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Sparta Rotterdam · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

GO Ahead Eagles · last 10 at home5.9 corners, 0.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

Sparta Rotterdam · last 10 away5.3 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

T. Hulleman, N. Verdoni, G. Nauber, E. Waayers, Tomas Galvez, T. Jukić, R. Weijenberg, Y. Rahmouni, O. Sivertsen, R. Margaret, T. Baeten, E. Flataker

Sparta Rotterdam · 4-2-3-1

1M. Brouwer

2L. Martes

3M. Young

4B. Martins Indi

5B. Kuipers

6N. Verschuren

7Robin van Cruijsen

8J. Toornstra

10Cedric Hatenboer

11I. Babadi

9M. Zonneveld

Bench

F. Bednarek, P. Kuiper, B. Reith, Teo Quintero, G. Vianello, J. Baas, A. Roaldsøy, C. Terho, Joel Ideho

December 18, 2024 · KNVB Beker

Sparta Rotterdam – GO Ahead EaglesSeptember 15, 2024 · Eredivisie1-2

Sparta Rotterdam – GO Ahead EaglesJanuary 21, 2024 · Eredivisie0-2

GO Ahead Eagles – Sparta RotterdamOctober 22, 2023 · Eredivisie0-0

Sparta Rotterdam – GO Ahead EaglesFebruary 12, 2023 · Eredivisie2-1

GO Ahead Eagles – Sparta RotterdamAugust 27, 2022 · Eredivisie0-1

Milan ZonneveldOwn goal

61'⚽Lushendry MartesAssist: Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi

62'⇄Casper TerhoOff: Robin van Cruijsen

62'⇄Teo Quintero LeónOff: Jens Toornstra

73'⇄Tino JukicOff: Alfons Sampsted

74'⇄Oskar Siira SivertsenOff: Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson

75'⚽Søren TengstedtAssist: Melle Meulensteen

79'⇄Andrej KostićOff: Bruno Martins Indi

85'⇄Erik Flataker HovdenOff: Søren Tengstedt

Statistics

63%Possession37%

1.33Expected goals2.01

17Total shots18

6Shots on target8

9Corners6

4Fouls8

0Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

5Saves5

Sparta Rotterdam: 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 away matches.

GO Ahead Eagles scored 2.6 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sparta Rotterdam scored 1.0 and conceded 2.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

GO Ahead Eagles · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Sparta Rotterdam · last 10 away: 3+ goals 9 times9/10

GO Ahead Eagles: 10 games · Sparta Rotterdam: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.7Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.6Goals conceded (avg)2.7

4.3Total goals per gameleague 3.83.8

9/10Over 0.5league %999/10

9/10Over 1.5league %919/10

8/10Over 2.5league %739/10

8/10Over 3.5league %617/10

7/10Over 4.5league %323/10

7/10Both scoreleague %727/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

GO Ahead Eagles: 10 games · Sparta Rotterdam: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)1.9

2.2Goals conceded (avg)2.5

4.6Total goals per gameleague 3.84.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

10/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

8/10Over 2.5league %7310/10

8/10Over 3.5league %618/10

6/10Over 4.5league %324/10

9/10Both scoreleague %729/10

1/10Clean sheets0/10

0/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%22 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), GO Ahead Eagles win 252, 216 end level and Sparta Rotterdam win 532. The actual result comes up 216 times in 1000.

%23 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.33 – 2.01 The score the chances deserved (xG): GO Ahead Eagles 1.33 – 2.01 Sparta Rotterdam.

8.4

Man of the match: I. Babadi (Sparta Rotterdam), rated 8.4.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie

GO Ahead Eagles · All games

Sparta Rotterdam · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at GO Ahead Eagles's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match