FC OSS – Helmond Sport: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 10

FC OSSEerste Divisie: Regular season · #15

3-1Friday, October 9

Helmond SportEerste Divisie: Regular season · #17

Match events

FC OSSHelmond Sport

22'Sem Dekkers
25'⚽Mauresmo HinokeAssist: Franslyn Nsingi
33'⚽Michel Simon Ludwig
37'⚽Mauresmo HinokeAssist: Justin Mathieu
45'⇄Kiton EkoliOff: Mauro Lenaerts
58'K. Lubrano
61'

Chances to win

FC OSS%43

Draw%26

Helmond Sport%31

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%61Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%61

FC OSS win%43

Under 2.5%42

Not both score%39

Helmond Sport win%31

Draw%26

Why?

FC OSS: 3+ goals in 10 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

FC OSSW4-1L0-1W3-0L1-3L1-2

Helmond SportD2-2L0-2L1-2W3-1W4-2

Last 8 meetings

2FC OSS won

4Draw

2Helmond Sport won

2.3
Goals per game3/8
Over 2.55/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

FC OSS · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Helmond Sport · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

FC OSS · last 10 at home5.3 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Helmond Sport · last 10 away4.9 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

44Xander van der Velde

Bench

Wessel van der Heijden, A. El Maach, R. van Bree, F. Van Den Eynden, Lovro Golič, D. Huiberts, A. Dizdarević, Dayen Geerts, K. Ekoli, N. Meissner

FC OSS – Helmond SportMarch 15, 2024 · Eerste Divisie1-0

Helmond Sport – FC OSSSeptember 15, 2023 · Eerste Divisie1-1

FC OSS – Helmond SportMarch 31, 2023 · Eerste Divisie2-2

Helmond Sport – FC OSSSeptember 30, 2022 · Eerste Divisie1-2

Xander van der Velde

61'⇄Maurilio de LannoyOff: K. Lubrano

62'⇄Flor Van Den EyndenOff: Labinot Bajrami

62'⇄Dean·HuibertsOff: Helgi Fróði Ingason

63'Richard van der Venne

74'⇄Jafar BynoeOff: Justin Mathieu

74'⇄Andy VisserOff: Franslyn Nsingi

85'⇄Quint JansenOff: Richard van der Venne

85'⇄Lars MolOff: Mauresmo Hinoke

86'⚽Maurilio de Lannoy

89'⇄Lovro GolicOff: Michel Simon Ludwig

89'⇄Nico MeissnerOff: Tijn Landheer

Statistics

47%Possession53%

2.79Expected goals1.48

14Total shots17

5Shots on target6

6Corners7

17Fouls14

2Offsides3

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

4Saves2

Helmond Sport: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

FC OSS scored 2.1 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Helmond Sport scored 0.6 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

FC OSS · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 10 times10/10

FC OSS: 10 games · Helmond Sport: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.6Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.1

4.1Total goals per gameleague 3.63.1

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

10/10Over 1.5league %868/10

10/10Over 2.5league %685/10

6/10Over 3.5league %443/10

3/10Over 4.5league %282/10

9/10Both scoreleague %706/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score4/10

FC OSS: 10 games · Helmond Sport: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)2.1

1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.5

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.64.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

9/10Over 2.5league %688/10

4/10Over 3.5league %447/10

2/10Over 4.5league %284/10

8/10Both scoreleague %708/10

1/10Clean sheets0/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%65 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), FC OSS win 649, 167 end level and Helmond Sport win 184. The actual result comes up 649 times in 1000.

2.79 – 1.48 The score the chances deserved (xG): FC OSS 2.79 – 1.48 Helmond Sport.

9.7

Man of the match: M. Hinoke (FC OSS), rated 9.7.

%43 Our model's pre-match chance of a FC OSS win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

FC OSS · Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport · Eerste Divisie

FC OSS · All games

Helmond Sport · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at FC OSS's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match