Pisa – Palermo: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 9

PisaSerie B · #6

3-3Wednesday, October 28

PalermoSerie B · #1

Match events

PisaPalermo

26'⚽Filippo PittarelloAssist: Simone Zanon
33'⇄Giangiacomo MagnaniOff: Mattia Bani
40'⚽Filippo PittarelloAssist: Rosen Bozhinov
45'⇄Dominic VavassoriOff: Emmanuel Gyasi
45'⇄HernaniOff: Filippo·Ranocchia
45+2'Andrea Primasso

Chances to win

Pisa%40

Draw%28

Palermo%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%56

Under 2.5%44

Pisa win%40

Not both score%40

Palermo win%33

Draw%28

Why?

Pisa: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

PisaD1-1W3-1W3-0D2-2L0-3

PalermoW2-1W2-0W4-2W2-1D1-1

Last 7 meetings

4Pisa won

2Draw

1Palermo won

4.3
Goals per game5/7
Over 2.55/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Pisa · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Palermo · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Pisa · last 10 at home4.3 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Palermo · last 10 away4.7 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

M. Nespola, M. Fortin, P. Ceccaroni, A. Bozzolan, T. Cassandro, G. Magnani, C. Gomes, J. Segre, Hernani, D. Vavassori, A. Gabrielloni

Pisa – PalermoMarch 4, 2023 · Serie B

Palermo – PisaOctober 15, 2022 · Serie B3-3

Pisa – PalermoJuly 21, 2022 · Friendlies Clubs5-0

Dennis JohnsenAssist: Tommaso Augello

57'⚽Patryk PedaAssist: Joel Pohjanpalo

64'⇄Tommaso CassandroOff: Niccolo Pierozzi

69'⚽Dominic Vavassori

70'⇄Andrea PetagnaOff: Filippo Pittarello

70'⇄Isak VuralOff: Felipe Loyola

70'⇄Emanuele RaoOff: Simone Zanon

80'⚽Tommaso MarrasAssist: Emanuele Rao

81'⇄Pietro CeccaroniOff: Joel Pohjanpalo

90+7'⇄Simone CanestrelliOff: Andrea Primasso

Statistics

53%Possession47%

2.4Expected goals1.18

11Total shots13

6Shots on target5

5Corners3

10Fouls9

5Offsides1

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

2Saves2

Palermo: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Pisa scored 1.2 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Palermo scored 1.3 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Pisa · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

Palermo · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Pisa: 10 games · Palermo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.73.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

8/10Over 1.5league %809/10

7/10Over 2.5league %524/10

3/10Over 3.5league %243/10

2/10Over 4.5league %113/10

7/10Both scoreleague %616/10

0/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Pisa: 10 games · Palermo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)2.6

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.73.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %809/10

8/10Over 2.5league %527/10

4/10Over 3.5league %245/10

2/10Over 4.5league %114/10

6/10Both scoreleague %618/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%18 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Pisa win 643, 184 end level and Palermo win 173. The actual result comes up 184 times in 1000.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

2.40 – 1.18 The score the chances deserved (xG): Pisa 2.40 – 1.18 Palermo.

8.8

Man of the match: F. Pittarello (Pisa), rated 8.8.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Pisa · Serie B

Palermo · Serie B

Pisa · All games

Palermo · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Pisa's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match