Vicenza Virtus – Pisa: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 6

Vicenza VirtusSerie B · #16

0-3Saturday, October 10

PisaSerie B · #6

Match events

Vicenza VirtusPisa

8'VARAlessandro Pietrelli
19'⚽Filippo PittarelloAssist: Matteo Tramoni
27'P. Bianco
45'⇄Nicola RautiOff: Marco Carraro
48'⚽Arturo CalabresiAssist: Matteo Tramoni
54'⇄L. CaferriOff: Alessandro Pietrelli

Chances to win

Vicenza Virtus%32

Draw%28

Pisa%40

At a glance

Over 1.5

%51Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%51

Under 2.5%49

Not both score%43

Pisa win%40

Vicenza Virtus win%32

Draw%28

Why?

Vicenza Virtus: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Vicenza VirtusL1-2D1-1D2-2L0-3W3-2

PisaD2-2L0-3L1-4W3-0W2-1

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Vicenza Virtus · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Pisa · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Vicenza Virtus · last 2 at home9.0 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/2Over 4.5 corners2/2Over 5.5 corners2/2Over 0.5 cards2/2Over 1.5 cards2/2

Pisa · last 10 away2.5 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners

Over 4.5 corners1/10

Over 5.5 corners0/10

Bench

S. Scuffet, R. Bozhinov, S. Canestrelli, F. Loyola, Tomás Esteves, F. Coppola, D. Denoon, I. Ferrah, İ. Vural, G. Piccinini, E. Rao, T. Marras

Mattia ValotiOff: Giuseppe Cuomo

64'⇄Gabriele MonciniOff: Filippo Alessio

72'⇄Emanuele RaoOff: Matteo Tramoni

72'⇄Tommaso MarrasOff: Stefano Moreo

72'⇄Rosen BozhinovOff: Andrea Primasso

73'⇄Filippo CostaOff: Maxime Leverbe

86'⇄Francesco CoppolaOff: Simone Zanon

90+1'⇄Simone CanestrelliOff: Mehdi Léris

90+2'⚽Emanuele RaoAssist: Tommaso Marras

Statistics

44%Possession56%

0.6Expected goals2.86

10Total shots23

0Shots on target9

6Corners12

16Fouls7

1Offsides0

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

6Saves2

Pisa: both sides scored in 2 of their last 10 away matches.

Vicenza Virtus scored 1.3 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Pisa scored 0.6 and conceded 2.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Vicenza Virtus · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

Vicenza Virtus: 10 games · Pisa: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.0

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.73.0

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %809/10

6/10Over 2.5league %528/10

3/10Over 3.5league %242/10

2/10Over 4.5league %111/10

8/10Both scoreleague %613/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score5/10

Vicenza Virtus: 10 games · Pisa: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.73.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %809/10

7/10Over 2.5league %528/10

3/10Over 3.5league %244/10

1/10Over 4.5league %112/10

7/10Both scoreleague %616/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%84 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Vicenza Virtus win 52, 113 end level and Pisa win 835. The actual result comes up 835 times in 1000.

0.60 – 2.86 The score the chances deserved (xG): Vicenza Virtus 0.60 – 2.86 Pisa.

10 – 23 Shots: Vicenza Virtus 10 – 23 Pisa.

0 – 9 Shots on target: Vicenza Virtus 0 – 9 Pisa.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Vicenza Virtus · Serie B

Pisa · Serie B

Vicenza Virtus · All games

Pisa · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match