Hellas Verona – Pisa: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 8

Hellas VeronaSerie B · #9

1-1Sunday, October 25

PisaSerie B · #6

Match events

Hellas VeronaPisa

22'⇄Martin FreseOff: Davide De Battisti
45'⇄Tomas SuslovOff: Grigoris Kastanos
47'Rosen Bozhinov
50'Arturo Calabresi
51'⚽Edoardo IannoniAssist: Amin Sarr
60'⇄Mehdi LérisOff: Arturo Calabresi

Chances to win

Hellas Verona%42

Draw%28

Pisa%30

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Under 2.5%48

Not both score%44

Hellas Verona win%42

Pisa win%30

Draw%28

Why?

Hellas Verona: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Hellas VeronaD2-2L2-3W2-1L1-3W5-0

PisaW3-1W3-0D2-2L0-3L1-4

Last 4 meetings

0Hellas Verona won

4Draw

0Pisa won

0.5
Goals per game0/4
Over 2.51/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Hellas Verona · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Pisa · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Hellas Verona · last 10 at home6.3 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Pisa · last 10 away3.4 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

S. Scuffet, A. Caracciolo, S. Canestrelli, Tomás Esteves, F. Coppola, M. Léris, I. Ferrah, İ. Vural, G. Piccinini, G. Leone, F. Pittarello, T. Marras

Filippo PittarelloOff: Andrea Petagna

60'⇄Tommaso MarrasOff: Simone Zanon

69'⇄Ichem FerrahOff: Emanuele Rao

69'⇄Paweł DawidowiczOff: Dailon Livramento

69'⇄Caleb EkubanOff: Amin Sarr

79'⇄Nunzio LellaOff: Tomas Suslov

84'⚽Tommaso Marras

90'⇄Gabriele PiccininiOff: Ichem Ferrah

90+5'Gabriele Piccinini

Statistics

42%Possession58%

0.69Expected goals1.55

11Total shots20

3Shots on target4

4Corners8

9Fouls7

1Offsides2

0Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

3Saves2

Pisa: both sides scored in 2 of their last 10 away matches.

Hellas Verona scored 1.2 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Pisa scored 0.9 and conceded 2.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Hellas Verona: 10 games · Pisa: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.2Goals conceded (avg)2.0

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.73.0

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

7/10Over 1.5league %809/10

5/10Over 2.5league %528/10

3/10Over 3.5league %242/10

1/10Over 4.5league %111/10

5/10Both scoreleague %613/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score5/10

Hellas Verona: 10 games · Pisa: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.2Total goals per gameleague 2.73.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %809/10

7/10Over 2.5league %528/10

4/10Over 3.5league %244/10

2/10Over 4.5league %112/10

8/10Both scoreleague %616/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%26 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Hellas Verona win 165, 255 end level and Pisa win 580. The actual result comes up 255 times in 1000.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.69 – 1.55 The score the chances deserved (xG): Hellas Verona 0.69 – 1.55 Pisa.

8.2

Man of the match: E. Iannoni (Hellas Verona), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Hellas Verona · Serie B

Pisa · Serie B

Hellas Verona · All games

Pisa · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Hellas Verona's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match