Pisa – Cremonese: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 7

PisaSerie B · #6

3-1Saturday, October 17

CremoneseSerie B · #15

Match events

PisaCremonese

3'⚽Matteo TramoniAssist: Stefano Moreo
32'⚽Tommaso BertiAssist: Jari Vandeputte
32'Arturo Calabresi
35'Marco Nasti
45'⇄Adrian LickunasOff: Marco Nasti
53'Tommaso Barbieri
63'

Chances to win

Pisa%45

Draw%29

Cremonese%26

At a glance

Over 1.5

%47Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%53Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Over 2.5%47

Pisa win%45

Draw%29

Cremonese win%26

Why?

Pisa: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

PisaW3-0D2-2L0-3L1-4W3-0

CremoneseD0-0D0-0D2-2W3-1W2-0

Last 6 meetings

3Pisa won

1Draw

2Cremonese won

2.3
Goals per game4/6
Over 2.53/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Pisa · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Cremonese · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Pisa · last 10 at home4.2 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Cremonese · last 10 away4.1 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

M. Festa, F. Agazzi, Fellipe Jack, M. Bianchetti, A. Vogliacco, Simone Lottici Tessadri, M. Collocolo, D. Lordkipanidze, M. De Luca, A. Lickūnas

Cremonese – PisaMay 1, 2024 · Serie B

Pisa – CremoneseDecember 2, 2023 · Serie B0-0

Felipe LoyolaOff: Giuseppe Leone

63'⇄Rosen BozhinovOff: Arturo Calabresi

72'⇄Manuel De LucaOff: Tommaso Berti

72'⇄Simone Lottici TessadriOff: Jari Vandeputte

76'⇄Alessandro VogliaccoOff: Salvatore Elia

78'⇄Tommaso MarrasOff: Mehdi Léris

78'⇄Andrea PetagnaOff: Filippo Pittarello

81'Alessandro Vogliacco

83'⇄Gabriel HerzuahOff: Tommaso Barbieri

87'⇄Antonio CaraccioloOff: Simone Zanon

88'⚽Tommaso Marras

Statistics

55%Possession45%

2.39Expected goals0.51

14Total shots10

5Shots on target3

8Corners6

11Fouls11

3Offsides1

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

2Saves2

Cremonese: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Pisa scored 0.9 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Cremonese scored 0.8 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cremonese · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Pisa: 10 games · Cremonese: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.72.1

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

8/10Over 1.5league %806/10

7/10Over 2.5league %523/10

3/10Over 3.5league %243/10

2/10Over 4.5league %110/10

7/10Both scoreleague %612/10

0/10Clean sheets5/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

Pisa: 10 games · Cremonese: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.1

10/10Over 0.5league %978/10

9/10Over 1.5league %806/10

8/10Over 2.5league %524/10

4/10Over 3.5league %243/10

2/10Over 4.5league %110/10

6/10Both scoreleague %613/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%79 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Pisa win 793, 146 end level and Cremonese win 61. The actual result comes up 793 times in 1000.

8.3

Man of the match: S. Moreo (Pisa), rated 8.3.

2.39 – 0.51 The score the chances deserved (xG): Pisa 2.39 – 0.51 Cremonese.

%45 Our model's pre-match chance of a Pisa win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Pisa · Serie B

Cremonese · Serie B

Pisa · All games

Cremonese · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Pisa's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match