Empoli – Palermo: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 6

EmpoliSerie B · #18

2-4Saturday, October 10

PalermoSerie B · #1

Match events

EmpoliPalermo

45'⇄Lapo DeliOff: Filippo Bandinelli
45'⇄Karim ZedadkaOff: Simone Romagnoli
47'VAREdoardo SaporitiPenalty confirmed
50'⚽Edoardo SaporitiPenalty
57'⚽Joel PohjanpaloAssist: Mattia Bani
57'Jacopo Seghetti

Chances to win

Empoli%27

Draw%27

Palermo%46

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Under 2.5%48

Palermo win%46

Not both score%44

Draw%27

Empoli win%27

Why?

Empoli: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

EmpoliL1-2L0-1W1-0L1-3W1-0

PalermoW2-1D1-1W3-1W5-2W3-2

Last 2 meetings

0Empoli won

0Draw

2Palermo won

4.5
Goals per game2/2
Over 2.52/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Empoli · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Palermo · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Empoli · last 10 at home6.5 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

Palermo · last 10 away4.8 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

M. Perin, M. Nespola, E. Gyasi, N. Pierozzi, P. Peda, A. Bozzolan, G. Magnani, C. Gomes, Hernani, N. Estévez, L. Mazzitelli, A. Gabrielloni

Antonio PalumboAssist: Dennis Johnsen

69'⚽Dennis JohnsenAssist: Antonio Palumbo

71'⇄Duccio Degli InnocentiOff: Edoardo Biondini

71'⇄Steven ShpendiOff: Niccolo Corrado

75'Filippo·Ranocchia

76'VARSteven Shpendi

80'⇄HernaniOff: Jacopo Segre

80'⇄Nahuel EstévezOff: Filippo·Ranocchia

80'⇄Alessandro GabrielloniOff: Joel Pohjanpalo

80'⇄Luca MazzitelliOff: Antonio Palumbo

85'⇄Patryk PedaOff: Dennis Johnsen

88'⚽Tommaso CassandroAssist: Alessandro Gabrielloni

89'⇄Matteo EganOff: Joseph Ceesay

Statistics

41%Possession59%

1.46Expected goals4.91

6Total shots35

2Shots on target12

1Corners5

10Fouls12

2Offsides3

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

8Saves0

Palermo: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Empoli scored 1.2 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Palermo scored 0.9 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Empoli · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Palermo · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Empoli: 10 games · Palermo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.73.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

7/10Over 1.5league %809/10

3/10Over 2.5league %524/10

3/10Over 3.5league %243/10

2/10Over 4.5league %113/10

6/10Both scoreleague %616/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Empoli: 10 games · Palermo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)2.6

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.73.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

7/10Over 1.5league %809/10

4/10Over 2.5league %527/10

2/10Over 3.5league %245/10

1/10Over 4.5league %114/10

6/10Both scoreleague %618/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.46 – 4.91 The score the chances deserved (xG): Empoli 1.46 – 4.91 Palermo.

%89 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Empoli win 50, 64 end level and Palermo win 886. The actual result comes up 886 times in 1000.

6 – 35 Shots: Empoli 6 – 35 Palermo.

2 – 12 Shots on target: Empoli 2 – 12 Palermo.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Empoli · Serie B

Palermo · Serie B

Empoli · All games

Palermo · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match