Cremonese – Juve Stabia: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 8

CremoneseSerie B · #15

0-1Saturday, October 24

Juve StabiaSerie B · #17

Match events

CremoneseJuve Stabia

24'⚽Marco BellichAssist: Fabio Maistro
40'VARMarco NastiPenalty cancelled
56'⇄Salvatore EliaOff: Fellipe Jack
59'⇄Manuel De LucaOff: Marco Nasti
61'⇄Nermin KarićOff: Justin Kumi
72'⇄Leonardo CandelloneOff: Fabio Maistro

Chances to win

Cremonese%48

Draw%27

Juve Stabia%25

At a glance

Over 1.5

%48Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%52

Over 2.5%48

Not both score%48

Cremonese win%48

Draw%27

Juve Stabia win%25

Why?

Cremonese: 2 or fewer goals in 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CremoneseL1-3D0-0D0-0D2-2W3-1

Juve StabiaW3-0D1-1D1-1D1-1L0-3

Last 6 meetings

3Cremonese won

2Draw

1Juve Stabia won

2.7
Goals per game4/6
Over 2.55/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Cremonese · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Juve Stabia · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Cremonese · last 10 at home3.8 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Juve Stabia · last 10 away3.7 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

P. Boer, M. Ricciardi, M. Baldi, F. Gallea, T. Battistella, D. Buglio, N. Karić, Nicola Patanè, K. Piscopo, L. Candellone, Romeo Sandrucci, S. Fernandes

Juve Stabia – CremoneseJuly 27, 2020 · Serie B1-2

Cremonese – Juve StabiaDecember 26, 2019 · Serie B1-1

72'⇄Romeo SandrucciOff: Giusepe Sibilli

77'⇄Alessandro VogliaccoOff: Alberto Grassi

78'⇄Milan DjuricOff: Tommaso Barbieri

78'⇄Federico BonazzoliOff: Jari Vandeputte

80'⇄Matteo BaldiOff: Federico Artioli

81'⇄Sana FernandesOff: Antonio Di Nardo

90+4'Leonardo Candellone

Statistics

55%Possession45%

1.63Expected goals0.73

20Total shots13

6Shots on target2

6Corners4

9Fouls9

2Offsides4

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

0Saves6

Juve Stabia: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Cremonese scored 1.2 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Juve Stabia scored 1.0 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Juve Stabia · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Cremonese: 10 games · Juve Stabia: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.2

8/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

7/10Over 1.5league %807/10

6/10Over 2.5league %523/10

2/10Over 3.5league %241/10

1/10Over 4.5league %111/10

4/10Both scoreleague %617/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

Cremonese: 10 games · Juve Stabia: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.72.3

8/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

6/10Over 1.5league %807/10

4/10Over 2.5league %524/10

3/10Over 3.5league %241/10

0/10Over 4.5league %111/10

3/10Both scoreleague %615/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

5/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%17 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Cremonese win 590, 245 end level and Juve Stabia win 165. The actual result comes up 165 times in 1000.

%25 Our model's pre-match chance of an Juve Stabia win.

1.63 – 0.73 The score the chances deserved (xG): Cremonese 1.63 – 0.73 Juve Stabia.

8.3

Man of the match: M. Bellich (Juve Stabia), rated 8.3.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Cremonese · Serie B

Juve Stabia · Serie B

Cremonese · All games

Juve Stabia · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Cremonese's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match