Juve Stabia – Sudtirol: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 7

Juve StabiaSerie B · #17

3-0Sunday, October 18

SudtirolSerie B · #8

Match events

Juve StabiaSudtirol

18'Aljosa Vasic
26'Marco Bellich
29'Riccardo Stivanello
40'Giusepe Sibilli
43'⚽Giusepe SibilliAssist: Fabio Maistro
59'Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
66'

Chances to win

Juve Stabia%44

Draw%29

Sudtirol%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%46Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Over 2.5%46

Juve Stabia win%44

Draw%29

Sudtirol win%27

Why?

Juve Stabia: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Juve StabiaD1-1D1-1D1-1L0-3W2-1

SudtirolD0-0W4-1L0-1D1-1W2-0

Last 4 meetings

2Juve Stabia won

1Draw

1Sudtirol won

2.0
Goals per game1/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Juve Stabia · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Sudtirol · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Juve Stabia · last 10 at home6.4 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Sudtirol · last 10 away2.8 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners1/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Rok Vadjunec, D. Veroli, M. Pellini, F. Davi, F. Tait, D. Brik, Elias Schroot, R. Burnete, L. Anghelè, K. Mixtur

Kenny Meddy MixturOff: Alvin Okoro

66'⇄Rares BurneteOff: Aljosa Vasic

67'⇄Romeo SandrucciOff: Fabio Maistro

67'⇄Thomas BattistellaOff: Justin Kumi

72'⇄Nermin KarićOff: Federico Artioli

73'⚽Antonio Di NardoAssist: Marco Bellich

76'⇄Dhirar BrikOff: Fabio Rispoli

81'⇄Leonardo CandelloneOff: Antonio Di Nardo

82'⇄Sana FernandesOff: Giusepe Sibilli

83'⇄Mattia PelliniOff: Riccardo Stivanello

84'⚽Romeo SandrucciAssist: Terrence Douglas

Statistics

66%Possession34%

2.73Expected goals0.28

22Total shots6

9Shots on target2

2Corners3

18Fouls17

1Offsides0

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards1

2Saves6

Sudtirol: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Juve Stabia scored 1.2 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sudtirol scored 1.5 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Juve Stabia · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Sudtirol · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Juve Stabia: 10 games · Sudtirol: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.7

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

8/10Over 1.5league %807/10

4/10Over 2.5league %524/10

2/10Over 3.5league %243/10

0/10Over 4.5league %112/10

5/10Both scoreleague %615/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score5/10

Juve Stabia: 10 games · Sudtirol: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.0

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.72.0

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

7/10Over 1.5league %807/10

4/10Over 2.5league %522/10

1/10Over 3.5league %241/10

1/10Over 4.5league %111/10

5/10Both scoreleague %614/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Sudtirol: a 9-match unbeaten run ended here.

%88 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Juve Stabia win 882, 94 end level and Sudtirol win 24. The actual result comes up 882 times in 1000.

2.77 – 0.30 The score the chances deserved (xG): Juve Stabia 2.77 – 0.30 Sudtirol.

22 – 6 Shots: Juve Stabia 22 – 6 Sudtirol.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Juve Stabia · Serie B

Sudtirol · Serie B

Juve Stabia · All games

Sudtirol · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Juve Stabia's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match