Virtus Entella – Juve Stabia: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 6

Virtus EntellaSerie B · #12

1-1Saturday, October 10

Juve StabiaSerie B · #17

Match events

Virtus EntellaJuve Stabia

19'Niccolo Squizzato
27'Leonardo Benedetti
32'Marco Bellich
47'⚽Antonio Di NardoAssist: Giusepe Sibilli
53'⇄Lucas FelippeOff: Niccolo Squizzato
54'⇄Francesco MezzoniOff: Leonardo Benedetti
65'

Chances to win

Virtus Entella%45

Draw%30

Juve Stabia%25

At a glance

Over 1.5

%45Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%50

Not both score%50

Virtus Entella win%45

Over 2.5%45

Draw%30

Juve Stabia win%25

Why?

Virtus Entella: 2 or fewer goals in 2 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Virtus EntellaD0-0W4-1D2-2L1-2L0-1

Juve StabiaD1-1D1-1L0-3W2-1L0-1

Last 2 meetings

0Virtus Entella won

1Draw

1Juve Stabia won

1.5
Goals per game0/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Virtus Entella · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Juve Stabia · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Virtus Entella · last 10 at home5.0 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners

Juve Stabia · last 10 away3.6 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

A. Vuković, M. Ricciardi, M. Baldi, F. Gallea, T. Battistella, N. Karić, F. Artioli, Nicola Patanè, K. Piscopo, L. Candellone, Romeo Sandrucci, S. Fernandes

Giacomo CoronaOff: Luca Vignali

66'⇄Kevin PiscopoOff: Fabio Maistro

67'⇄Sana FernandesOff: Giusepe Sibilli

73'⇄Leonardo CandelloneOff: Antonio Di Nardo

81'⇄Manuel RicciardiOff: Christian Pierobon

81'⇄Thomas BattistellaOff: Davide Buglio

82'⇄Marwane KrittaOff: Stefano Di Mario

82'⇄M TirelliOff: Luigi Cuppone

90+6'⚽Giacomo Corona

Statistics

53%Possession47%

1.31Expected goals1.01

14Total shots13

2Shots on target2

5Corners3

21Fouls14

3Offsides3

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

1Saves1

Juve Stabia: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Virtus Entella scored 1.7 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Juve Stabia scored 1.1 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Juve Stabia · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Virtus Entella: 10 games · Juve Stabia: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

8/10Over 1.5league %807/10

5/10Over 2.5league %523/10

1/10Over 3.5league %241/10

0/10Over 4.5league %111/10

7/10Both scoreleague %617/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

Virtus Entella: 10 games · Juve Stabia: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.72.3

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

7/10Over 1.5league %807/10

5/10Over 2.5league %524/10

3/10Over 3.5league %241/10

1/10Over 4.5league %111/10

7/10Both scoreleague %615/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%28 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Virtus Entella win 434, 278 end level and Juve Stabia win 287. The actual result comes up 278 times in 1000.

%30 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.31 – 1.01 The score the chances deserved (xG): Virtus Entella 1.31 – 1.01 Juve Stabia.

8.2

Man of the match: Giacomo Corona (Virtus Entella), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Virtus Entella · Serie B

Juve Stabia · Serie B

Virtus Entella · All games

Juve Stabia · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match