Rayo Vallecano – Celta Vigo: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·La Liga · Spain · Matchday 11

Rayo VallecanoPrimera División · #17

3-0Saturday, October 31

Celta VigoPrimera División · #9

Match events

Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo

26'Unai López
36'⚽Jorge De FrutosAssist: Sergio Camello
43'⇄Pablo Durán FernándezOff: Hugo González
45'⇄Georgiy TsitaishviliOff: Álvaro García
55'⚽Jorge De FrutosAssist: Andrei Rațiu
61'⇄Isi PalazónOff: Sergio Camello

Chances to win

Rayo Vallecano%40

Draw%29

Celta Vigo%31

At a glance

Over 1.5

%46Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Over 2.5%46

Rayo Vallecano win%40

Celta Vigo win%31

Draw%29

Why?

Rayo Vallecano: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Rayo VallecanoD1-1L0-3D1-1D1-1W2-1

Celta VigoD0-0W2-1W2-1L1-2D0-0

Last 15 meetings

4Rayo Vallecano won

6Draw

5Celta Vigo won

2.6
Goals per game9/15
Over 2.56/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Rayo Vallecano · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Celta Vigo · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Rayo Vallecano · last 10 at home5.2 corners, 3.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Celta Vigo · last 10 away3.6 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Dani Cárdenas, I. Balliu, Pelayo Fernández, J. Vertrouwd, Isi Palazón, R. Nteka, G. Bouare, Alemão, G. Tsitaishvili, Fran Pérez, Rayane Belid

Celta Vigo · 3-4-3

13I. Radu

18Yoel Lago

20Javi Rodríguez

21S. Cáceres

6I. Moriba

14Aleix Febas

17Javi Rueda

22Javi Galán

9Ferran Jutglà

16Hugo González

23Hugo Álvarez

Bench

A. Bayındır, Iván Villar, Marcos Alonso, A. Faye, Sergio Carreira, Andrés Antañón, H. Burcio, Iago Aspas, Pablo Durán, W. Swedberg, C. Driouech

Celta Vigo – Rayo VallecanoMarch 31, 2024 · La Liga0-0

Rayo Vallecano – Celta VigoDecember 11, 2023 · La Liga0-0

Celta Vigo – Rayo VallecanoMarch 11, 2023 · La Liga3-0

Rayo Vallecano – Celta VigoNovember 10, 2022 · La Liga0-0

Celta Vigo – Rayo VallecanoFebruary 5, 2022 · La Liga2-0

Rayo Vallecano – Celta VigoNovember 1, 2021 · La Liga0-0

Celta Vigo – Rayo VallecanoMay 18, 2019 · La Liga2-2

Rayo Vallecano – Celta VigoJanuary 11, 2019 · La Liga4-2

Rayo Vallecano – Celta VigoJanuary 23, 2016 · La Liga3-0

Celta Vigo – Rayo VallecanoAugust 29, 2015 · La Liga3-0

Celta Vigo – Rayo VallecanoApril 11, 2015 · La Liga6-1

Williot SwedbergOff: Sebastián Cáceres

61'⇄Sergio Carreira VilarinoOff: Ferran Jutglà

61'⇄Jozhua VertrouwdOff: Adrià Pedrosa

61'⇄Iago AspasOff: Javi Galán

64'⇄Gnangoro BouareOff: Óscar Valentín

73'⚽Unai LópezAssist: Gnangoro Bouare

75'⇄Couhaib DriouechOff: Hugo Alvarez Antunez

79'⇄Alexandre ZurawskiOff: Unai López

Statistics

53%Possession47%

1.13Expected goals1.26

14Total shots11

8Shots on target0

4Corners3

11Fouls16

1Offsides2

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

0Saves6

Celta Vigo: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Rayo Vallecano scored 1.7 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Celta Vigo scored 0.6 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Rayo Vallecano · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Celta Vigo · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Rayo Vallecano: 10 games · Celta Vigo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)0.6

1.1Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.01.5

10/10Over 0.5league %917/10

8/10Over 1.5league %765/10

5/10Over 2.5league %563/10

2/10Over 3.5league %360/10

2/10Over 4.5league %220/10

5/10Both scoreleague %584/10

4/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score5/10

Rayo Vallecano: 10 games · Celta Vigo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.4Total goals per gameleague 3.02.2

10/10Over 0.5league %918/10

10/10Over 1.5league %767/10

6/10Over 2.5league %565/10

3/10Over 3.5league %361/10

3/10Over 4.5league %221/10

8/10Both scoreleague %585/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.13 – 1.26 The score the chances deserved (xG): Rayo Vallecano 1.13 – 1.26 Celta Vigo.

%33 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Rayo Vallecano win 330, 277 end level and Celta Vigo win 393. The actual result comes up 330 times in 1000.

8 – 0 Shots on target: Rayo Vallecano 8 – 0 Celta Vigo.

9.1

Man of the match: Jorge de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano), rated 9.1.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

Celta Vigo · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano · All games

Celta Vigo · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Rayo Vallecano's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match