Celtic – Celta Vigo: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Europa League · League phase · Matchday 3

CelticPremier League · #1

1-2Thursday, October 22

Celta VigoPrimera División · #9

Match events

CelticCelta Vigo

23'Camilo Duran
47'⚽Mika Baur
58'⇄James ForrestOff: Callum Osmand
63'⇄Ilaix MoribaOff: Hugo Burcio
63'⇄Williot SwedbergOff: Iago Aspas
67'M. O'Neill
68'

Chances to win

Celtic%35

Draw%27

Celta Vigo%38

At a glance

Over 1.5

%55Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%55

Under 2.5%45

Not both score%40

Celta Vigo win%38

Celtic win%35

Draw%27

Why?

Celtic: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CelticW7-1L1-4W2-0L0-1L1-3

Celta VigoW2-1L1-2D0-0W5-0L0-1

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Celtic · last 10 at home6/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Celta Vigo · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Celtic · last 9 at home8.1 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/9Over 4.5 corners8/9Over 5.5 corners8/9Over 0.5 cards

Celta Vigo · last 10 away3.0 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Starting line-ups

Celtic · 4-2-3-1

26S. Johnstone

5L. Scales

47D. Murray

51Colby Donovan

63K. Tierney

8B. Nygren

19C. Osmand

22M. Baur

23H. Hassan

42C. McGregor

11C. Durán

Bench

V. Sinisalo, J. Lotomba, A. Ralston, L. McCowan, O. Sørensen, A. Oxlade-Chamberlain, S. McArdle, J. Forrest, J. Haney, K. Høgh, S. Tounekti

Celta Vigo · 3-4-3

13I. Radu

3Marcos Alonso

20Javi Rodríguez

21S. Cáceres

5Sergio Carreira

14Aleix Febas

17Javi Rueda

30H. Burcio

9Ferran Jutglà

10Iago Aspas

23Hugo Álvarez

Bench

A. Bayındır, A. Faye, Yoel Lago, Javi Galán, G. Miller, I. Moriba, Andrés Antañón, Pablo Durán, Hugo González, W. Swedberg, C. Driouech, Ángel Arcos

Javier Rodríguez GalianoAssist: Hugo Alvarez Antunez

71'⚽Javier Rodríguez Galiano

73'⇄Kasper HoghOff: Haissem Hassan

77'⇄Pablo Durán FernándezOff: Ferran Jutglà

79'⇄Oliver SorensenOff: Mika Baur

80'⇄Sebastian TounektiOff: Camilo Duran

85'⇄Javi GalánOff: Hugo Alvarez Antunez

85'⇄Andrés Antañón VieitesOff: Javier Rueda García

Statistics

44%Possession56%

0.56Expected goals1.36

8Total shots22

4Shots on target4

2Corners6

10Fouls5

3Offsides2

4Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

2Saves3

Celta Vigo: both sides scored in 3 of their last 10 away matches.

Celtic scored 2.6 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Celta Vigo scored 0.4 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Celtic · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Celtic: 10 games · Celta Vigo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)0.6

1.1Goals conceded (avg)0.9

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.91.5

10/10Over 0.5league %937/10

8/10Over 1.5league %765/10

8/10Over 2.5league %603/10

4/10Over 3.5league %330/10

1/10Over 4.5league %170/10

6/10Both scoreleague %464/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score5/10

Celtic: 10 games · Celta Vigo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.92.2

10/10Over 0.5league %938/10

8/10Over 1.5league %767/10

7/10Over 2.5league %605/10

4/10Over 3.5league %331/10

2/10Over 4.5league %171/10

6/10Both scoreleague %465/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%53 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Celtic win 173, 296 end level and Celta Vigo win 531. The actual result comes up 531 times in 1000.

0.59 – 1.27 The score the chances deserved (xG): Celtic 0.59 – 1.27 Celta Vigo.

8 – 22 Shots: Celtic 8 – 22 Celta Vigo.

8.9

Man of the match: Javi Rodríguez (Celta Vigo), rated 8.9.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Celtic · UEFA Europa League

Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League

Celtic · All games

Celta Vigo · All games

Missing players

Previous meetings

Model chances

Starting line-ups

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match