Celta Vigo – Juventus: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Europa League · League phase · Matchday 2

Celta VigoPrimera División · #9

1-2Thursday, October 15

JuventusSerie A · #8

Match events

Celta VigoJuventus

18'⚽Hugo Alvarez AntunezAssist: Williot Swedberg
39'Williot Swedberg
54'Lloyd Kelly
58'⚽Nick Woltemade
62'⇄Couhaib DriouechOff: Williot Swedberg
64'⇄Nicolás Iván GonzalezOff: Francisco Conceicao
64'

Chances to win

Celta Vigo%29

Draw%29

Juventus%42

At a glance

Over 1.5

%43Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%50

Both score%50

Over 2.5%43

Juventus win%42

Draw%29

Celta Vigo win%29

Why?

Celta Vigo: 2 or fewer goals in 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Celta VigoD0-0W5-0L0-1D1-1D1-1

JuventusD1-1W2-0W5-0L2-3D1-1

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Celta Vigo · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Juventus · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Celta Vigo · last 10 at home3.9 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners

Juventus · last 10 away6.1 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

No games this season · Red Card

J. Ekhator

No games this season · Muscle Injury

Starting line-ups

Celta Vigo · 3-4-3

13I. Radu

3Marcos Alonso

18Yoel Lago

20Javi Rodríguez

5Sergio Carreira

6I. Moriba

14Aleix Febas

17Javi Rueda

9Ferran Jutglà

19W. Swedberg

23Hugo Álvarez

Bench

A. Bayındır, A. Faye, Álvaro Núñez, S. Cáceres, Javi Galán, G. Miller, Andrés Antañón, H. Burcio, Iago Aspas, Hugo González, C. Driouech, Ángel Arcos

Juventus · 4-2-3-1

25G. Vicario

4F. Gatti

6L. Kelly

15P. Kalulu

20A. Cambiaso

7Francisco Conceição

8T. Koopmeiners

17Kerim-Sam Alajbegović

22W. McKennie

29P. Sarr

27N. Woltemade

Bench

C. Pinsoglio, Neto, Z. Çelik, Bremer, J. Lucumí, J. Cabal, Douglas Luiz, R. Kolo Muani, N. González

Randal Kolo MuaniOff: Kerim Alajbegovic

70'⇄Jhon LucumiOff: Lloyd Kelly

70'⇄Gleison BremerOff: Federico Gatti

75'⇄Hugo BurcioOff: Aleix Febas

75'⇄Iago AspasOff: Ferran Jutglà

82'⇄Douglas Luiz SoaresOff: Teun Koopmeiners

85'⇄Álvaro NúñezOff: Javier Rueda García

85'⇄Hugo GonzálezOff: Hugo Alvarez Antunez

90+2'⚽Randal Kolo MuaniAssist: Andrea Cambiaso

Statistics

47%Possession53%

1.1Expected goals1.75

9Total shots22

2Shots on target6

2Corners7

12Fouls19

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

4Saves1

Juventus: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Celta Vigo scored 1.7 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Juventus scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Juventus · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Celta Vigo: 10 games · Juventus: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.2Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.92.1

9/10Over 0.5league %939/10

8/10Over 1.5league %766/10

6/10Over 2.5league %603/10

3/10Over 3.5league %332/10

2/10Over 4.5league %171/10

6/10Both scoreleague %464/10

3/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Celta Vigo: 10 games · Juventus: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.7

0.7Goals conceded (avg)1.3

1.9Total goals per gameleague 2.93.0

7/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

6/10Over 1.5league %7610/10

4/10Over 2.5league %605/10

1/10Over 3.5league %333/10

1/10Over 4.5league %172/10

5/10Both scoreleague %465/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

90+2'

Randal Kolo Muani decided it in minute 90.

%53 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Celta Vigo win 238, 236 end level and Juventus win 526. The actual result comes up 526 times in 1000.

1.10 – 1.75 The score the chances deserved (xG): Celta Vigo 1.10 – 1.75 Juventus.

9 – 22 Shots: Celta Vigo 9 – 22 Juventus.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League

Juventus · UEFA Europa League

Celta Vigo · All games

Juventus · All games

Missing players

Previous meetings

Model chances

Starting line-ups

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match