Cagliari – Juventus: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 6

CagliariSerie A · #10

1-1Sunday, October 11

JuventusSerie A · #8

Match events

CagliariJuventus

17'Weston McKennie
20'⚽Daniel MaldiniAssist: Paul Mendy
45'⇄Kerim AlajbegovicOff: Weston McKennie
45'⇄Edon ZhegrovaOff: Francisco Conceicao
45'⇄Alessandro DeiolaOff: Juan Rodriguez
45+1'Juan Rodriguez

Chances to win

Cagliari%15

Draw%24

Juventus%60

At a glance

Over 1.5

%48Over 2.5

%47Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Juventus win.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%53

Under 2.5%52

Over 2.5%48

Both score%47

Draw%24

Cagliari win%15

Why?

Juventus won 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Last 5 matches

CagliariW1-0W2-1W1-0L1-2L0-1

JuventusW2-0W5-0L2-3D1-1W2-0

Last 7 meetings

1Cagliari won

2Draw

4Juventus won

2.6
Goals per game4/7
Over 2.54/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Cagliari · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Juventus · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Cagliari · last 10 at home5.1 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Juventus · last 10 away5.3 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

A. Sherri, B. Radunović, R. Kofler, G. Aurelio, Y. Sugawara, J. Fazzini, A. Deiola, R. Gagliardini, J. Liteta, Ivan Stoyanov Sulev, Kevin Carlos, M'Bala Nzola, R. Ciervo, A. Fadera

Juventus · 4-2-3-1

25G. Vicario

2Z. Çelik

3Bremer

15P. Kalulu

26J. Lucumí

7Francisco Conceição

12Douglas Luiz

22W. McKennie

29P. Sarr

31N. González

9R. Kolo Muani

Bench

C. Pinsoglio, F. Gatti, L. Kelly, A. Cambiaso, D. Rugani, J. Cabal, T. Koopmeiners, E. Zhegrova, Kerim-Sam Alajbegović, N. Woltemade

Juventus – CagliariOctober 6, 2024 · Serie A1-1

Cagliari – JuventusApril 19, 2024 · Serie A2-2

Juventus – CagliariNovember 11, 2023 · Serie A2-1

Alieu FaderaOff: Yanis Massolin

60'⇄Nick WoltemadeOff: Nicolás Iván Gonzalez

64'⇄Andrea CambiasoOff: Zeki Çelik

69'⇄Yukinari SugawaraOff: Daniel Maldini

69'⇄M'Bala NzolaOff: Paul Mendy

81'⚽Randal Kolo MuaniAssist: Kerim Alajbegovic

83'Alessandro Deiola

84'⇄Jacopo FazziniOff: Adam Obert

84'⇄Teun KoopmeinersOff: Douglas Luiz Soares

Statistics

28%Possession72%

0.54Expected goals1.94

4Total shots22

2Shots on target10

1Corners9

8Fouls8

2Offsides2

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

9Saves1

Cagliari scored 1.0 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Juventus scored 1.5 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cagliari · last 10 at home: 5 defeats5/10

Cagliari: 10 games · Juventus: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.1Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.1Total goals per gameleague 3.22.1

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

6/10Over 1.5league %866/10

3/10Over 2.5league %603/10

1/10Over 3.5league %342/10

1/10Over 4.5league %211/10

4/10Both scoreleague %584/10

3/10Clean sheets5/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Cagliari: 10 games · Juventus: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.4Total goals per gameleague 3.23.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

6/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

4/10Over 2.5league %605/10

2/10Over 3.5league %343/10

1/10Over 4.5league %212/10

4/10Both scoreleague %585/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%20 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Cagliari win 94, 197 end level and Juventus win 709. The actual result comes up 197 times in 1000.

%24 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.54 – 1.94 The score the chances deserved (xG): Cagliari 0.54 – 1.94 Juventus.

4 – 22 Shots: Cagliari 4 – 22 Juventus.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Cagliari · Serie A

Juventus · Serie A

Cagliari · All games

Juventus · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Cagliari's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match