The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Celtic win%60
Both score%60
Not both score%40
Under 2.5%37
Draw%21
Heart Of Midlothian win%19
Why?
Celtic: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
CelticL1-4W2-0L0-1L1-3L0-3
Heart Of MidlothianD1-1W5-0D1-1L1-2W3-0
Last 15 meetings
10Celtic won
1Draw
4Heart Of Midlothian won
3.5 Goals per game10/15 Over 2.58/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Celtic · last 10 at home6/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.
Heart Of Midlothian · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Celtic · last 9 at home8.4 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/9Over 4.5 corners8/9Over 5.5 corners8/9Over 0.5 cards
Referee
D. Dickinson4.0 cards a match in 48 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Celtic · Premiership
9W 0D 1LScored 22 · conceded 72.5 Üst 6/10KG 5/10
Heart Of Midlothian · Premiership
6W 1D 3LScored 23 · conceded 112.5 Üst 9/10KG 7/10
Celtic · All games
5W 0D 5LScored 13 · conceded 172.5 Üst 7/10KG 5/10
Heart Of Midlothian · All games
5W 4D 1LScored 21 · conceded 102.5 Üst 7/10KG 8/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Celtic · 4-2-3-1
1V. Sinisalo
5L. Scales
47D. Murray
51Colby Donovan
63K. Tierney
8B. Nygren
11C. Durán
22M. Baur
23H. Hassan
42C. McGregor
19C. Osmand
Bench
S. Johnstone, A. Trusty, L. Emenalo, O. Sørensen, A. Oxlade-Chamberlain, J. Forrest, Jota, K. Høgh, Shumaira Mheuka
Heart Of Midlothian · 4-4-1-1
1B. Reus
3S. Kingsley
This fixture at Celtic's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 8
6Celtic won
0Draw
2Heart Of Midlothian won
Celtic last won here on May 16, 2026: Celtic 3-1 Heart Of Midlothian.Heart Of Midlothian last won here on Dec 7, 2025: Celtic 1-2 Heart Of Midlothian.2.9 goals a game here · over 2.5 5/8 · BTTS 3/8
Last 15 meetings
10Celtic won
1Draw
4Heart Of Midlothian won
3.5 Goals per game10/15 Over 2.58/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Celtic – Heart Of MidlothianMay 16, 2026 · Premiership3-1
Heart Of Midlothian – CelticJanuary 25, 2026 · Premiership2-2
Celtic – Heart Of MidlothianDecember 7, 2025 · Premiership1-2
Heart Of Midlothian – CelticOctober 26, 2025 · Premiership
7/9
Over 1.5 cards4/9
Heart Of Midlothian · last 9 away6.2 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/9Over 4.5 corners7/9Over 5.5 corners7/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards8/9
Heart Of Midlothian · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10
Celtic: 10 games · Heart Of Midlothian: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.3Goals scored (avg)1.4
1.1Goals conceded (avg)2.2
3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.83.6
10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10
8/10Over 1.5league %7910/10
8/10Over 2.5league %596/10
4/10Over 3.5league %293/10
1/10Over 4.5league %112/10
6/10Both scoreleague %587/10
3/10Clean sheets2/10
1/10Failed to score1/10
Celtic: 10 games · Heart Of Midlothian: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.7Goals scored (avg)1.8
1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.6
3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.83.4
10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10
8/10Over 1.5league %7910/10
7/10Over 2.5league %596/10
4/10Over 3.5league %293/10
2/10Over 4.5league %112/10
6/10Both scoreleague %586/10
2/10Clean sheets3/10
2/10Failed to score1/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
4.24 – 1.27 The score the chances deserved (xG): Celtic 4.24 – 1.27 Heart Of Midlothian.
%86 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Celtic win 856, 80 end level and Heart Of Midlothian win 64. The actual result comes up 856 times in 1000.
10 – 5 Shots on target: Celtic 10 – 5 Heart Of Midlothian.
9.5 Man of the match: C. Durán (Celtic), rated 9.5.