Getafe – Rayo Vallecano: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·La Liga · Spain · Matchday 9

GetafePrimera División · #18

1-1Monday, October 19

Rayo VallecanoPrimera División · #17

Match events

GetafeRayo Vallecano

1'Kiko Femenia
11'⚽Álvaro GarcíaAssist: Jorge De Frutos
16'Dakonam Ortega Djené
28'Dakonam Ortega Djené
32'⇄Abdel AbqarOff: Ramón Terrats
45'⇄Francho Serrano GraciaOff: Kiko Femenia
45'

Chances to win

Getafe%32

Draw%32

Rayo Vallecano%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%35Over 2.5

%44Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%65Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%56

Both score%44

Rayo Vallecano win%36

Over 2.5%35

Draw%32

Getafe win%32

Why?

Getafe: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

GetafeD1-1L0-3W1-0L0-1D1-1

Rayo VallecanoD1-1W2-1L1-4W3-2L2-5

Last 8 meetings

0Getafe won

5Draw

3Rayo Vallecano won

1.1
Goals per game0/8
Over 2.52/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Getafe · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Rayo Vallecano · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Getafe · last 10 at home3.9 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Rayo Vallecano · last 10 away3.2 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

J. Letáček, Diego Ferrer, Davinchi, S. Sazonov, A. Abqar, S. Boselli, Andrés García, Francho Serrano, Alberto Risco, Borja Mayoral

Rayo Vallecano · 4-3-3

25E. Audero

15Mujaid Sadick

17Adrià Pedrosa

20I. Balliu

24F. Lejeune

6P. Ciss

7Isi Palazón

8Unai López

10Sergio Camello

18Álvaro García

19Jorge de Frutos

Bench

Dani Cárdenas, M. Kumbulla, Pelayo Fernández, J. Vertrouwd, Pedro Díaz, Óscar Valentín, G. Bouare, Alemão, G. Tsitaishvili, Fran Pérez, Rayane Belid

Rayo Vallecano – GetafeApril 13, 2024 · La Liga0-0

Getafe – Rayo VallecanoJanuary 2, 2024 · La Liga0-2

Getafe – Rayo VallecanoFebruary 12, 2023 · La Liga1-1

Rayo Vallecano – GetafeOctober 14, 2022 · La Liga0-0

Andrés GarcíaOff: Mario Martín Rielves

51'Francho Serrano Gracia

56'⚽Martin SatrianoAssist: Francho Serrano Gracia

59'⇄Óscar ValentínOff: Isi Palazón

59'⇄Pedro DíazOff: Ivan Balliu

65'⇄Georgiy TsitaishviliOff: Jorge De Frutos

80'⇄Alexandre ZurawskiOff: Álvaro García

80'⇄Juan Sebastian Boselli GrafOff: Daniel Carvajal

80'⇄Francisco Pérez MartínezOff: Unai López

87'⇄Borja MayoralOff: Enes Ünal

Statistics

32%Possession68%

0.61Expected goals2.26

12Total shots21

4Shots on target5

8Corners8

12Fouls9

0Offsides3

6Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

4Saves3

Rayo Vallecano: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Getafe scored 1.3 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Rayo Vallecano scored 1.2 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Getafe · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Rayo Vallecano · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Getafe: 10 games · Rayo Vallecano: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.02.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

7/10Over 1.5league %768/10

3/10Over 2.5league %564/10

3/10Over 3.5league %362/10

1/10Over 4.5league %222/10

6/10Both scoreleague %588/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

Getafe: 10 games · Rayo Vallecano: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.9Goals conceded (avg)2.1

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.03.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

8/10Over 1.5league %7610/10

4/10Over 2.5league %566/10

3/10Over 3.5league %363/10

2/10Over 4.5league %223/10

6/10Both scoreleague %589/10

1/10Clean sheets0/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%18 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Getafe win 103, 182 end level and Rayo Vallecano win 716. The actual result comes up 182 times in 1000.

%32 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.67 – 2.15 The score the chances deserved (xG): Getafe 0.67 – 2.15 Rayo Vallecano.

32 – 68 Possession (%): Getafe 32 – 68 Rayo Vallecano.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Getafe · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

Getafe · All games

Rayo Vallecano · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Getafe's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match