Valencia – Villarreal: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·La Liga · Spain · Matchday 10

ValenciaPrimera División · #19

1-2Saturday, October 24

VillarrealPrimera División · #10

Match events

ValenciaVillarreal

14'⇄Daniel Raba AntolínOff: David Otorbi Ejededawe
34'Daniel Raba Antolín
36'VARDaniel Raba AntolínPenalty confirmed
37'Renato Veiga
38'⚽José Luis García VayáPenalty
43'Ayoze Pérez

Chances to win

Valencia%29

Draw%27

Villarreal%44

At a glance

Over 1.5

%55Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%55

Under 2.5%45

Villarreal win%44

Not both score%41

Valencia win%29

Draw%27

Why?

Valencia: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

ValenciaD0-0D2-2L2-3W1-0L0-1

VillarrealL3-4D0-0W3-1L0-1W3-1

Last 15 meetings

5Valencia won

3Draw

7Villarreal won

2.6
Goals per game7/15
Over 2.510/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Valencia · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Villarreal · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Valencia · last 10 at home4.2 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Villarreal · last 10 away5.5 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

K. van Oevelen, M. Diakhaby, Jesús Vázquez, Arnau Martínez, H. Elliott, A. Dieng, F. Ugrinic, Aaron Mayol, R. Sato, Hugo Duro, Dani Raba, Aimar Blázquez

Villarreal · 4-4-2

25P. Gulácsi

3A. Freeman

8J. Foyth

12Renato Veiga

15S. Mouriño

11Ilias Akhomach

16C. Macia

17T. Buchanan

18P. Gueye

7Gerard Moreno

22Ayoze Pérez

Bench

Luíz Júnior, Rubén Gómez, Logan Costa, Pau Navarro, Sergi Cardona, A. Diatta, Alberto Moleiro, Santi Comesaña, G. Mikautadze, T. Oluwaseyi, N. El Jmili

Villarreal – ValenciaMarch 17, 2024 · La Liga1-0

Valencia – VillarrealJanuary 2, 2024 · La Liga3-1

Valencia – VillarrealMay 3, 2023 · La Liga1-1

Villarreal – ValenciaDecember 31, 2022 · La Liga2-1

Villarreal – ValenciaApril 19, 2022 · La Liga2-0

Valencia – VillarrealOctober 30, 2021 · La Liga2-0

Valencia – VillarrealJuly 16, 2021 · Friendlies Clubs3-2

Valencia – VillarrealMarch 5, 2021 · La Liga2-1

Villarreal – ValenciaOctober 18, 2020 · La Liga2-1

Valencia – VillarrealAugust 28, 2020 · Friendlies Clubs2-1

Villarreal – ValenciaJune 28, 2020 · La Liga2-0

65'⇄Sergi Cardona BermúdezOff: Juan Foyth

65'⇄Alberto MoleiroOff: Ilias Akhomach Chakkour

66'⇄Georges MikautadzeOff: Ayoze Pérez

69'⚽Alex FreemanAssist: Sergi Cardona Bermúdez

70'⇄Arnau Martínez LópezOff: Daniel Raba Antolín

70'⇄Harvey ElliottOff: Javi Guerra

77'⇄Filip UgrinicOff: Pablo Maffeo

77'⇄Hugo DuroOff: Justin De Haas

78'VARPape GueyeCard upgrade confirmed

82'⇄Santi ComesañaOff: Gerard Moreno

87'⇄Pau NavarroOff: Tajon Buchanan

90+6'⚽Georges MikautadzeAssist: Alberto Moleiro

Statistics

38%Possession62%

1.17Expected goals1.52

9Total shots19

5Shots on target3

6Corners9

18Fouls9

2Offsides2

3Yellow cards3

1Red cards1

1Saves4

Villarreal: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Valencia scored 1.0 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Villarreal scored 1.4 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Valencia · last 10 at home: both scored 5 times5/10

Villarreal · last 10 away: both scored 7 times7/10

Valencia: 10 games · Villarreal: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.5Total goals per gameleague 3.03.6

8/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

7/10Over 1.5league %768/10

5/10Over 2.5league %567/10

3/10Over 3.5league %366/10

2/10Over 4.5league %223/10

5/10Both scoreleague %586/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

5/10Failed to score3/10

Valencia: 10 games · Villarreal: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.7Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.4Total goals per gameleague 3.03.2

8/10Over 0.5league %919/10

5/10Over 1.5league %767/10

5/10Over 2.5league %567/10

4/10Over 3.5league %365/10

2/10Over 4.5league %222/10

4/10Both scoreleague %586/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

5/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

90+6'

Georges Mikautadze decided it in minute 90.

%45 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Valencia win 293, 254 end level and Villarreal win 453. The actual result comes up 453 times in 1000.

1.17 – 1.52 The score the chances deserved (xG): Valencia 1.17 – 1.52 Villarreal.

9 – 19 Shots: Valencia 9 – 19 Villarreal.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Valencia · La Liga

Villarreal · La Liga

Valencia · All games

Villarreal · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Valencia's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match