Villarreal – Elche: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·La Liga · Spain · Matchday 9

VillarrealPrimera División · #10

0-0Saturday, October 17

ElchePrimera División · #16

Match events

VillarrealElche

28'⇄Federico Redondo SolariOff: Marc Aguado
38'Gonzalo Villar
63'VARRoy RevivoPenalty cancelled
65'⇄Fernando Niño RodríguezOff: Abiel Alessio Osorio
65'⇄Martim NetoOff: Thomas Lemar
65'⇄Tete Morente

Chances to win

Villarreal%65

Draw%19

Elche%15

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Villarreal win%65

Both score%59

Not both score%41

Under 2.5%34

Draw%19

Elche win%15

Why?

Villarreal: 3+ goals in 10 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

VillarrealW3-1L0-1W3-1W3-1L1-2

ElcheD0-0W3-1L2-3D1-1L2-3

Last 4 meetings

3Villarreal won

0Draw

1Elche won

3.8
Goals per game4/4
Over 2.53/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Villarreal · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Elche · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Villarreal · last 10 at home5.8 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Elche · last 10 away3.3 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Luíz Júnior, Pau Navarro, Renato Veiga, S. Mouriño, Carlos Romero, A. Diatta, P. Gueye, N. Saliba, Gerard Moreno, G. Mikautadze, N. El Jmili

Elche · 5-3-2

1M. Dituro

2Buba Sangaré

3R. Revivo

11Germán Valera

23Víctor Chust

47J. Morcillo

8Marc Aguado

12Gonzalo Villar

18T. Lemar

21L. Cepeda

24A. Osorio

Bench

Alejandro Iturbe, Bigas, K. Lomónaco, Rubén Sánchez, F. Redondo, F. Buonanotte, Martim Neto, Josan, E. Ponce, Fer Niño, Tete Morente, Ali Houary

66'⇄Nathan-Dylan SalibaOff: Carlos Macià

66'⇄Pape GueyeOff: Tani Oluwaseyi

66'⇄Georges MikautadzeOff: Santi Comesaña

75'⇄Gerard MorenoOff: Ilias Akhomach Chakkour

83'⇄Ruben Sanchez SaezOff: Buba Sangaré

84'⇄Nizar El JmiliOff: Ayoze Pérez

Statistics

58%Possession42%

2.23Expected goals0.31

20Total shots7

7Shots on target1

10Corners5

12Fouls7

6Offsides0

2Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

1Saves6

Elche: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Villarreal scored 2.8 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Elche scored 1.3 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Villarreal · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 10 times10/10

Elche · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Villarreal: 10 games · Elche: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.7Total goals per gameleague 3.02.9

9/10Over 0.5league %919/10

8/10Over 1.5league %769/10

8/10Over 2.5league %566/10

6/10Over 3.5league %364/10

4/10Over 4.5league %221/10

8/10Both scoreleague %588/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Villarreal: 10 games · Elche: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.03.3

9/10Over 0.5league %918/10

7/10Over 1.5league %768/10

7/10Over 2.5league %567/10

5/10Over 3.5league %366/10

2/10Over 4.5league %224/10

6/10Both scoreleague %586/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%14 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Villarreal win 817, 144 end level and Elche win 39. The actual result comes up 144 times in 1000.

%19 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

2.23 – 0.31 The score the chances deserved (xG): Villarreal 2.23 – 0.31 Elche.

20 – 7 Shots: Villarreal 20 – 7 Elche.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Villarreal · La Liga

Elche · La Liga

Villarreal · All games

Elche · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Villarreal's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match