Liverpool – Villarreal: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Champions League · League phase · Matchday 3

LiverpoolPremier League · #4

4-3Tuesday, October 20

VillarrealPrimera División · #10

Match events

LiverpoolVillarreal

4'⚽Georges Mikautadze
27'Alberto Moleiro
29'⚽Sergi Cardona BermúdezAssist: Nathan-Dylan Saliba
36'⚽Alexis Mac AllisterAssist: Konstantinos Tsimikas
41'Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
45'⇄Florian WirtzOff: Ronald Araujo

Chances to win

Liverpool%66

Draw%20

Villarreal%15

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Liverpool win%66

Both score%60

Not both score%40

Under 2.5%34

Draw%20

Villarreal win%15

Why?

Liverpool: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

LiverpoolW2-1W6-3L0-3W1-0W3-1

VillarrealD0-0W3-1L0-1W3-1W3-1

Last 4 meetings

3Liverpool won

0Draw

1Villarreal won

2.8
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.51/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Liverpool · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Villarreal · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Liverpool · last 10 at home6.3 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners4/10

Villarreal · last 10 away5.6 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

G. Mamardashvili, F. Woodman, J. Gomez, M. Kerkez, L. Chambers, F. Wirtz, J. McConnell, M. Laffey, A. Isak, B. Barcola, J. Danns

Villarreal · 4-2-3-1

25P. Gulácsi

6Pau Navarro

12Renato Veiga

15S. Mouriño

23Sergi Cardona

10Alberto Moleiro

14Santi Comesaña

17T. Buchanan

18P. Gueye

24N. Saliba

9G. Mikautadze

Bench

Luíz Júnior, Logan Costa, A. Freeman, J. Foyth, A. Diatta, C. Macia, Gerard Moreno, Ilias Akhomach, T. Oluwaseyi, Ayoze Pérez, N. El Jmili

Tani OluwaseyiOff: Nathan-Dylan Saliba

45+2'⚽Ronald AraujoAssist: Rio Ngumoha

54'⇄Juan FoythOff: Alberto Moleiro

60'⇄Alex FreemanOff: Tajon Buchanan

60'⇄Ayoze PérezOff: Georges Mikautadze

65'⚽Alexis Mac AllisterAssist: Rio Ngumoha

66'⇄Alexander IsakOff: Lewis Koumas

68'⚽Florian WirtzAssist: Cody Gakpo

74'⇄Bradley BarcolaOff: Rio Ngumoha

74'⇄Joe GomezOff: Jérémy Jacquet

78'⇄Gerard MorenoOff: Santi Comesaña

81'⇄James McConnellOff: Treymaurice Nyoni

87'⚽Tani OluwaseyiAssist: Ayoze Pérez

Statistics

53%Possession47%

2.41Expected goals1.62

22Total shots14

7Shots on target5

7Corners2

12Fouls10

2Offsides4

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

2Saves4

Villarreal: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Liverpool scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Villarreal scored 1.3 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Liverpool · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Villarreal · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Liverpool: 10 games · Villarreal: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.33.6

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %838/10

5/10Over 2.5league %607/10

3/10Over 3.5league %426/10

1/10Over 4.5league %263/10

7/10Both scoreleague %576/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

Liverpool: 10 games · Villarreal: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.4Total goals per gameleague 3.33.2

9/10Over 0.5league %979/10

8/10Over 1.5league %837/10

6/10Over 2.5league %607/10

3/10Over 3.5league %425/10

2/10Over 4.5league %262/10

6/10Both scoreleague %576/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%56 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Liverpool win 557, 192 end level and Villarreal win 251. The actual result comes up 557 times in 1000.

7 – 2 Corners: Liverpool 7 – 2 Villarreal.

2.41 – 1.60 The score the chances deserved (xG): Liverpool 2.41 – 1.60 Villarreal.

9.2

Man of the match: A. Mac Allister (Liverpool), rated 9.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Liverpool · UEFA Champions League

Villarreal · UEFA Champions League

Liverpool · All games

Villarreal · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Liverpool's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match