Bolton – Bristol City: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Championship · England · Matchday 13

Bolton

2-3Saturday, October 31

Bristol City

Match events

BoltonBristol City

11'Joe Williams
13'⚽Dominic BallardAssist: Jason Knight
16'⚽Josh SheehanAssist: Thierry Gale
30'Josh Sheehan
55'⇄Yu HirakawaOff: Brian de Keersmaecker
55'⇄Jed WallaceOff: Rio Cardines

Chances to win

Bolton%33

Draw%27

Bristol City%40

At a glance

Over 1.5

%53Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%53

Under 2.5%47

Not both score%42

Bristol City win%40

Bolton win%33

Draw%27

Why?

Bolton: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BoltonL1-5D0-0W3-1L1-2W4-3

Bristol CityD0-0L0-1L0-1D1-1W1-0

Last 9 meetings

3Bolton won

2Draw

4Bristol City won

3.0
Goals per game6/9
Over 2.55/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Bolton · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Bristol City · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Bolton · last 10 at home5.8 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners

Bristol City · last 10 away4.6 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

D. Harrington, L. Brunt, A. Famewo, D. Watson, Luca Stephenson, Max Lott, K. Dong, T. Bair, Ruben Rodrigues

Bristol City · 4-2-3-1

40B. Collins

2L. Eissat

3C. Pring

15L. McNally

19G. Tanner

21Rio Cardines

6B. De Keersmaecker

8J. Williams

12J. Knight

9L. Tolaj

23D. Ballard

Bench

S. Tickle, R. Atkinson, A. Randell, S. Twine, T. Horvat, S. Greenwood, Y. Hirakawa, S. Bell, J. Wallace

Bristol City – BoltonSeptember 26, 2017 · Championship2-0

Bristol City – BoltonMarch 19, 2016 · Championship6-0

Bolton – Bristol CityNovember 7, 2015 · Championship0-0

Bristol City – BoltonApril 13, 2013 · Championship1-2

Bolton – Bristol CityOctober 20, 2012 · Championship3-2

Sam DalbyAssist: Atsuki Ito

65'⇄Ruben RodriguesOff: Atsuki Ito

65'⇄Kyliane DongOff: Thierry Gale

67'⇄Scott TwineOff: Dominic Ballard

78'⇄Lewis BruntOff: Christian Forino Joseph

78'⇄Sam BellisOff: lorent tolaj

78'⇄Adam RandellOff: Joe Williams

84'⚽Sam BellisAssist: Cameron Pring

88'⇄Akin FamewoOff: Ben Davies

88'⇄Max LottOff: Samuel Iling

90+3'⚽Scott TwineAssist: Jed Wallace

Statistics

65%Possession35%

1.28Expected goals2.68

19Total shots14

6Shots on target9

11Corners4

5Fouls7

2Offsides5

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

6Saves4

Bristol City: both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Bolton scored 1.7 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Bristol City scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Bolton · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

Bristol City · last 10 away: both scored 8 times8/10

Bolton: 10 games · Bristol City: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.6Total goals per gameleague 2.92.8

10/10Over 0.5league %948/10

7/10Over 1.5league %768/10

7/10Over 2.5league %607/10

5/10Over 3.5league %374/10

5/10Over 4.5league %141/10

7/10Both scoreleague %638/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Bolton: 10 games · Bristol City: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.0

2.2Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.6Total goals per gameleague 2.92.1

9/10Over 0.5league %949/10

7/10Over 1.5league %765/10

7/10Over 2.5league %604/10

6/10Over 3.5league %372/10

4/10Over 4.5league %141/10

6/10Both scoreleague %635/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

90+3'

Scott Twine decided it in minute 90.

11 – 4 Corners: Bolton 11 – 4 Bristol City.

65 – 35 Possession (%): Bolton 65 – 35 Bristol City.

%67 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Bolton win 162, 167 end level and Bristol City win 671. The actual result comes up 671 times in 1000.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Bolton · Championship

Bristol City · Championship

Bolton · All games

Bristol City · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Bolton's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match