Rennes – Strasbourg: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 8

RennesLigue 1 · #3

3-0Sunday, October 25

StrasbourgLigue 1 · #16

Match events

RennesStrasbourg

33'Gessime Yassine
34'VARBoulaye DiaGoal confirmed
34'⚽Boulaye DiaAssist: Przemysław Frankowski
41'⚽Sebastian SzymańskiAssist: Mahamadou Nagida
45'⇄Yaya DiemeOff: Dario Essugo
56'Boulaye Dia

Chances to win

Rennes%52

Draw%23

Strasbourg%25

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%66Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%66

Rennes win%52

Not both score%34

Under 2.5%34

Strasbourg win%25

Draw%23

Why?

Rennes: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

RennesD2-2L3-4W2-1W4-1L0-4

StrasbourgL1-3L1-2L1-2D1-1W6-2

Last 15 meetings

9Rennes won

2Draw

4Strasbourg won

2.7
Goals per game7/15
Over 2.57/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Rennes · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Strasbourg · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Rennes · last 10 at home7.4 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Strasbourg · last 10 away3.1 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Kilian Belazzoug, Gonçalo Oliveira, B. Reynolds, Q. Merlin, D. Cissé, A. Thomasson, L. Blas, Eliezer Mayenda, I. Soumaré

Strasbourg · 4-2-3-1

1F. Jörgensen

4J. Mitchell

16G. Antwi

31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly

36Oso

10G. Reyna

14Dário Essugo

21P. Diop

23Diogo Sousa

80Gessime Yassine

40C. Harder

Bench

M. Piekutowski, L. Høgsberg, Y. Becker, O. Kellyman, Tyrese Noubissie, S. El Mourabet, M. Godo, J. Ortega

Strasbourg – RennesMarch 31, 2024 · Ligue 12-0

Rennes – StrasbourgOctober 29, 2023 · Ligue 11-1

Rennes – StrasbourgFebruary 1, 2023 · Ligue 13-0

Strasbourg – RennesOctober 1, 2022 · Ligue 11-3

Strasbourg – RennesApril 20, 2022 · Ligue 12-1

Rennes – StrasbourgOctober 24, 2021 · Ligue 11-0

Rennes – StrasbourgMarch 14, 2021 · Ligue 11-0

Strasbourg – RennesNovember 27, 2020 · Ligue 11-1

Strasbourg – RennesAugust 25, 2019 · Ligue 10-2

Strasbourg – RennesMay 18, 2019 · Ligue 10-2

Rennes – StrasbourgDecember 2, 2018 · Ligue 11-4

Sebastian SzymańskiAssist: Mousa Al-Tamari

64'⇄Adrien ThomassonOff: Mousa Al-Tamari

64'⇄Eliezer MayendaOff: Boulaye Dia

70'⇄Martial GodoOff: Gessime Yassine

70'⇄Jacobo OrtegaOff: Conrad Harder

70'⇄Samir El-MourabetOff: Diogo Sousa

71'⇄Quentin MerlinOff: Mahamadou Nagida

78'⇄Ludovic BlasOff: Sebastian Szymański

78'⇄Djaoui CisséOff: Mahdi Camara

84'⇄Omari KellymanOff: Giovanni Reyna

Statistics

47%Possession53%

1.67Expected goals0.93

15Total shots12

5Shots on target4

2Corners4

10Fouls17

1Offsides0

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

3Saves2

Strasbourg: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Rennes scored 1.9 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Strasbourg scored 1.7 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Rennes · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Strasbourg · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Rennes: 10 games · Strasbourg: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.4

0.9Goals conceded (avg)2.0

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.03.4

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %799/10

8/10Over 2.5league %617/10

3/10Over 3.5league %363/10

2/10Over 4.5league %162/10

7/10Both scoreleague %636/10

3/10Clean sheets0/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

Rennes: 10 games · Strasbourg: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.8Goals conceded (avg)2.3

3.7Total goals per gameleague 3.04.2

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %7910/10

8/10Over 2.5league %619/10

5/10Over 3.5league %364/10

3/10Over 4.5league %162/10

6/10Both scoreleague %638/10

3/10Clean sheets0/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.67 – 0.93 The score the chances deserved (xG): Rennes 1.67 – 0.93 Strasbourg.

%55 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Rennes win 548, 243 end level and Strasbourg win 209. The actual result comes up 548 times in 1000.

8.9

Man of the match: S. Szymański (Rennes), rated 8.9.

%52 Our model's pre-match chance of a Rennes win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Rennes · Ligue 1

Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Rennes · All games

Strasbourg · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Rennes's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match