Rennes – OFI: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Europa League · League phase · Matchday 2

RennesLigue 1 · #3

2-1Thursday, October 15

OFISuper League · #6

Match events

RennesOFI

10'⚽Taxiarchis FountasAssist: Nikolaos Athanasiou
41'Krešimir Krizmanić
45'⇄Giannis ApostolakisOff: Taxiarchis Fountas
59'Lorenzo Dickmann
67'Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal
67'⇄Eliezer MayendaOff: Ludovic Blas

Chances to win

Rennes%80

Draw%13

OFI%7

At a glance

Over 1.5

%68Over 2.5

%49Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Rennes win.

%80Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%68

Not both score%51

Both score%49

Under 2.5%32

Draw%13

OFI win%7

Why?

Rennes won 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Rennes scored 1.8 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

RennesW4-1L0-4D0-0W1-0W2-1

OFIL0-3D2-2W2-0W1-0W3-0

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Rennes · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

OFI · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Rennes · last 10 at home6.7 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

OFI · last 8 away3.3 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners0/8Over 0.5 cards7/8Over 1.5 cards4/8

Bench

N. Lemaître, Kilian Belazzoug, Gonçalo Oliveira, B. Reynolds, A. Rouault, Q. Merlin, D. Cissé, A. Thomasson, Eliezer Mayenda, B. Dia, A. Nordin, I. Soumaré

OFI · 3-4-3

31N. Christogeorgos

2K. Krizmanić

15A. Poungouras

43D. Nikolaou

3N. Athanasiou

14T. Androutsos

24L. Dickmann

41A. Bouchalakis

11T. Fountas

18T. Nuss

19K. Kodro

Bench

K. Lilo, P. Katsikas, K. Kostoulas, Borja González, Pavlos Kenourgiakis, Z. Karachalios, G. Kanellópoulos, G. Apostolakis, Aitor Cantalapiedra, T. Romano, G. Theodosoulakis, Thanasis Sitmalidis

Boulaye DiaOff: Valentin Rongier

67'⇄Zisis KarachaliosOff: Andreas Bouchalakis

68'⇄Aitor CantalapiedraOff: Kenan Kodro

76'⚽Mahamadou Nagida

77'⇄Djaoui CisséOff: Sebastian Szymański

77'⇄Bryan ReynoldsOff: Przemysław Frankowski

77'⇄Issa SoumaréOff: Mousa Al-Tamari

80'⇄Giannis TheodosoulakisOff: Thiago Nuss

83'⇄Borja GonzálezOff: Lorenzo Dickmann

90'⚽Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal

Statistics

67%Possession33%

1.79Expected goals0.12

25Total shots2

9Shots on target1

13Corners3

13Fouls11

4Offsides2

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

0Saves7

OFI scored 1.2 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Rennes · last 10 at home: 7 wins7/10

Rennes: 10 games · OFI: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.1

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.92.9

9/10Over 0.5league %939/10

8/10Over 1.5league %767/10

8/10Over 2.5league %606/10

3/10Over 3.5league %333/10

2/10Over 4.5league %172/10

7/10Both scoreleague %465/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Rennes: 10 games · OFI: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.7Total goals per gameleague 2.92.9

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

8/10Over 1.5league %768/10

8/10Over 2.5league %606/10

5/10Over 3.5league %332/10

3/10Over 4.5league %171/10

6/10Both scoreleague %464/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

90'

Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal decided it in minute 90.

%80 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Rennes win 797, 182 end level and OFI win 21. The actual result comes up 797 times in 1000.

1.79 – 0.12 The score the chances deserved (xG): Rennes 1.79 – 0.12 OFI.

25 – 2 Shots: Rennes 25 – 2 OFI.

5 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Rennes · European games

OFI · European games

Rennes · All games

OFI · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match