PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 10

PSV EindhovenEredivisie · #3

1-1Sunday, October 25

FeyenoordEredivisie · #1

Match events

PSV EindhovenFeyenoord

18'Charles Vanhoutte
21'⚽Guus TilAssist: Lutsharel Geertruida
26'Mauro Júnior
40'Filip Kostić
42'Anis Hadj Moussa
45'⇄Javi LópezOff: Jeremiah St. Juste
52'

Chances to win

PSV Eindhoven%45

Draw%23

Feyenoord%32

At a glance

Over 1.5

%71Over 2.5

%71Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

PSV EindhovenW1-0L1-2L0-1W2-0L2-3

FeyenoordL0-1W4-3W3-2W2-0W

Last 15 meetings

8PSV Eindhoven won

5Draw

2Feyenoord won

3.7
Goals per game11/15
Over 2.59/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

PSV Eindhoven · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Feyenoord · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

PSV Eindhoven · last 10 at home7.0 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Feyenoord · last 10 away5.4 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

PSV Eindhoven · 4-2-3-1

32M. Kovář

2L. Geertruida

4A. Obispo

8S. Dest

17Mauro Júnior

18F. Kostić

20G. Til

24K. Sano

5I. Perišić

7R. van Bommel

19E. Bajraktarevic

Bench

N. Olij, T. Smolenaars, Yarek Gasiorowski, R. Flamingo, K. Sildillia, N. Fernandez, A. Santos, S. Cornecion, M. Hansen, D. Man, A. Bouhamdi

Feyenoord · 4-3-3

1T. Ernst

4T. Watanabe

6J. St. Juste

26G. Read

35Mika Màrmol

8G. Zechiël

10L. Valente

28O. Targhalline

34C. Vanhoutte

19Nacho Ferri

23A. Hadj-Moussa

Bench

F. Kastenmeier, L. Bossin, Javi López, M. Deijl, J. Moder, S. Steijn, T. van den Elshout, T. Kraaijeveld, Gonçalo Borges, G. Diarra, J. Schaken

PSV Eindhoven – FeyenoordDecember 22, 2024 · Eredivisie3-0

PSV Eindhoven – FeyenoordAugust 4, 2024 · Super Cup4-4

PSV Eindhoven – FeyenoordMarch 3, 2024 · Eredivisie2-2

Feyenoord – PSV EindhovenJanuary 24, 2024 · KNVB Beker1-0

Feyenoord – PSV EindhovenDecember 3, 2023 · Eredivisie1-2

Feyenoord – PSV EindhovenAugust 4, 2023 · Super Cup0-1

Feyenoord – PSV EindhovenFebruary 5, 2023 · Eredivisie2-2

PSV Eindhoven – FeyenoordSeptember 18, 2022 · Eredivisie4-3

Feyenoord – PSV EindhovenMay 8, 2022 · Eredivisie2-2

PSV Eindhoven – FeyenoordSeptember 19, 2021 · Eredivisie0-4

PSV Eindhoven – FeyenoordMarch 14, 2021 · Eredivisie1-1

54'⚽Anis Hadj MoussaAssist: Luciano Valente

66'Tsuyoshi Watanabe

76'⇄Shuryjano CornecionOff: Kodai Sano

76'⇄Mikkel Bro HansenOff: Ruben van Bommel

83'⇄Dennis ManOff: Esmir Bajraktarević

89'⇄Tobias van den ElshoutOff: Nacho Ferri

89'⇄Jakub ModerOff: Charles Vanhoutte

89'⇄Thijs KraaijeveldOff: Tsuyoshi Watanabe

Statistics

52%Possession48%

1.95Expected goals1.23

19Total shots13

6Shots on target9

6Corners5

11Fouls10

1Offsides1

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

6Saves6

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%71Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%71

PSV Eindhoven win%45

Feyenoord win%32

Not both score%29

Under 2.5%29

Draw%23

Why?

PSV Eindhoven · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Feyenoord · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

PSV Eindhoven: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
Feyenoord: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
PSV Eindhoven scored 3.1 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Feyenoord scored 2.6 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

PSV Eindhoven: 10 games · Feyenoord: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.3Goals scored (avg)2.6

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.4

4.5Total goals per gameleague 3.84.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

10/10Over 1.5league %908/10

7/10Over 2.5league %726/10

7/10Over 3.5league %605/10

5/10Over 4.5league %324/10

7/10Both scoreleague %706/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

PSV Eindhoven: 10 games · Feyenoord: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)2.7

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.84.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

8/10Over 1.5league %909/10

5/10Over 2.5league %726/10

4/10Over 3.5league %606/10

3/10Over 4.5league %325/10

6/10Both scoreleague %706/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%22 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), PSV Eindhoven win 541, 220 end level and Feyenoord win 239. The actual result comes up 220 times in 1000.

%23 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.95 – 1.23 The score the chances deserved (xG): PSV Eindhoven 1.95 – 1.23 Feyenoord.

8.2

Man of the match: A. Hadj-Moussa (Feyenoord), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at PSV Eindhoven's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

Feyenoord · Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven · All games

Feyenoord · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match