Telstar – Feyenoord: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 9

TelstarEredivisie · #16

3-4Saturday, October 17

FeyenoordEredivisie · #1

Match events

TelstarFeyenoord

1'⚽Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra
21'⚽Nacho Ferri
29'Gerald Alders
30'⚽Tyrone OwusuAssist: Noach Shenkman
32'⚽Sem SteijnAssist: Givairo Read
37'⚽Patrick Brouwer
41'

Chances to win

Telstar%12

Draw%18

Feyenoord%70

At a glance

Over 1.5

%67Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Feyenoord win.

%70Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%67

Both score%57

Not both score%43

Under 2.5%33

Draw%18

Telstar win%12

Why?

Feyenoord won 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Last 5 matches

TelstarD2-2L0-1D0-0L0-1D2-2

FeyenoordW3-2W2-0W5-0W7-0L1-5

Last 2 meetings

0Telstar won

0Draw

2Feyenoord won

3.0
Goals per game2/2
Over 2.52/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Telstar · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Feyenoord · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Telstar · last 10 at home5.5 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

Feyenoord · last 10 away5.6 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards7/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

Bench

Finn Mulder, D. Reiziger, J. Hardeveld, G. Caschili, R. Oudsten, P. Aning, Isaiah Ahmed, H. Kuster, E. Demircan, Jelani Seedorf, F. Rust, F. Turay

Feyenoord · 4-2-3-1

1T. Ernst

4T. Watanabe

24T. Kraaijeveld

26G. Read

35Mika Màrmol

8G. Zechiël

14S. Steijn

23A. Hadj-Moussa

27G. Diarra

34C. Vanhoutte

19Nacho Ferri

Bench

F. Kastenmeier, L. Bossin, J. St. Juste, Javi López, M. Deijl, T. Wessels, L. Valente, T. van den Elshout, O. Targhalline, Gonçalo Borges, J. Schaken

57'⚽Sem SteijnPenalty

65'⇄Oussama TarghallineOff: Charles Vanhoutte

65'⇄Javi LópezOff: Thijs Kraaijeveld

65'⇄Jelani SeedorfOff: Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson

69'⚽Noach ShenkmanAssist: Sem valk

77'⇄Luciano ValenteOff: Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra

77'⇄Emirhan DemircanOff: Ar'jany Martha

77'⇄Tobias van den ElshoutOff: Sem Steijn

84'⇄Harrie KusterOff: Gerald Alders

84'⇄Jeff HardeveldOff: Noach Shenkman

Statistics

52%Possession48%

1.47Expected goals3.84

23Total shots22

9Shots on target11

6Corners8

12Fouls6

0Offsides1

1Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

6Saves6

Telstar scored 1.9 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Feyenoord scored 2.5 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Feyenoord · last 10 away: 6 wins6/10

Telstar: 10 games · Feyenoord: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)2.6

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.9Total goals per gameleague 3.84.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

10/10Over 1.5league %918/10

8/10Over 2.5league %736/10

7/10Over 3.5league %615/10

2/10Over 4.5league %324/10

6/10Both scoreleague %726/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

Telstar: 10 games · Feyenoord: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)2.8

2.2Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.84.3

9/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

7/10Over 1.5league %919/10

6/10Over 2.5league %737/10

6/10Over 3.5league %617/10

2/10Over 4.5league %325/10

5/10Both scoreleague %726/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

5/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Feyenoord: win number 5 in a row.

1.47 – 3.84 The score the chances deserved (xG): Telstar 1.47 – 3.84 Feyenoord.

%79 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Telstar win 98, 108 end level and Feyenoord win 794. The actual result comes up 794 times in 1000.

8.8

Man of the match: N. Shenkman (Telstar), rated 8.8.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Telstar · Eredivisie

Feyenoord · Eredivisie

Telstar · All games

Feyenoord · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match