Telstar – ADO Den Haag: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 8

TelstarEredivisie · #16

2-2Sunday, October 11

ADO Den HaagEredivisie · #17

Match events

TelstarADO Den Haag

13'Milan Hokke
14'⚽Tyrone Owusu
16'⚽Yannick Fereira EduardoAssist: Evan Rottier
16'Jelani Seedorf
25'⚽Evan Rottier
37'⚽Tyrone OwusuAssist: Noach Shenkman
40'

Chances to win

Telstar%45

Draw%26

ADO Den Haag%29

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%61Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%58

Telstar win%45

Under 2.5%42

Not both score%39

ADO Den Haag win%29

Draw%26

Why?

Telstar: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

TelstarL0-1D0-0L0-1D2-2L0-4

ADO Den HaagD1-1L0-2L2-3D2-2L1-3

Last 8 meetings

3Telstar won

4Draw

1ADO Den Haag won

2.1
Goals per game2/8
Over 2.55/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Telstar · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

ADO Den Haag · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Telstar · last 10 at home4.9 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

ADO Den Haag · last 10 away5.0 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

ADO Den Haag · 4-4-2

1K. Nikiéma

3P. Mulder

4M. Waem

5J. Jensen-Abbew

15M. Hokke

17J. Hawkins

25J. Kilo

33M. Šín

11E. Rottier

46Y. Eduardo

Bench

N. Thiede, O. Raterink, Illaijh de Ruijter, S. Sylla, L. Wilhelm, J. Žambůrek, M. Jiménez, Finn de Bruin, D. van Mieghem, J. Bal, N. Thomas, D. Bárány

Telstar – ADO Den HaagMarch 15, 2024 · Eerste Divisie3-1

ADO Den Haag – TelstarSeptember 22, 2023 · Eerste Divisie1-1

ADO Den Haag – TelstarMarch 31, 2023 · Eerste Divisie3-1

Telstar – ADO Den HaagNovember 11, 2022 · Eerste Divisie0-0

45'⇄Jan ZamburekOff: Matěj Šín

45'⇄Othniël RaterinkOff: Alejandro Pozo

58'⇄Ar'jany MarthaOff: Noach Shenkman

59'⇄Nökkvi Þeyr ÞórissonOff: Rui Mendes

60'⇄Sekou SyllaOff: Jalen Hawkins

71'⇄Donat BaranyOff: Yannick Fereira Eduardo

72'⇄Emirhan DemircanOff: Patrick Brouwer

79'⇄Daryl van MieghemOff: Evan Rottier

85'Abdelnour Soualhia

89'⇄Prince AningOff: Jelani Seedorf

Statistics

68%Possession32%

2.91Expected goals1.4

30Total shots3

4Shots on target2

8Corners0

8Fouls10

2Offsides2

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards1

0Saves2

ADO Den Haag: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Telstar scored 1.9 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

ADO Den Haag scored 1.0 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Telstar · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Telstar: 10 games · ADO Den Haag: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.2

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.9Total goals per gameleague 3.82.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

10/10Over 1.5league %918/10

8/10Over 2.5league %735/10

7/10Over 3.5league %614/10

2/10Over 4.5league %320/10

6/10Both scoreleague %726/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Telstar: 10 games · ADO Den Haag: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.4

2.2Goals conceded (avg)2.2

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.83.6

9/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

7/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

6/10Over 2.5league %737/10

6/10Over 3.5league %616/10

2/10Over 4.5league %323/10

5/10Both scoreleague %729/10

1/10Clean sheets0/10

5/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%16 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Telstar win 684, 157 end level and ADO Den Haag win 159. The actual result comes up 157 times in 1000.

%26 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

2.91 – 1.40 The score the chances deserved (xG): Telstar 2.91 – 1.40 ADO Den Haag.

30 – 3 Shots: Telstar 30 – 3 ADO Den Haag.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Telstar · Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie

Telstar · All games

ADO Den Haag · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Telstar's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match